Hitting a home run in Game 7 of the World Series is something any baseball fan dreams of. Who will realize that dream on Saturday night?
The pregame narrative: The Toronto Blue Jays host the Los Angeles Dodgers in a winner-take-all championship battle tonight, with Max Scherzer scheduled to start against Shohei Ohtani. There were 15 homers in the first five games, but none in Game 6 on Friday.
Check out our staff’s World Series home run picks for Game 7 on Nov. 1.
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World Series home run picks: Game 7
NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri and Jordan Horrobin offer up their top World Series home run prop predictions for Game 7 on Saturday.
George Springer (+600)
Springer etched himself in Toronto sports lore with his epic home run in Game 7 of the ALCS.
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The veteran DH is as clutch as it gets — his 23 postseason home runs rank third all-time — and I think he has one more moment in store tonight.
Let’s not forget he’s coming off a monster regular season, too:
- 4th in wRC+ (166)
- 7th in SLG (.560)
- 17th in HR (33)
Batting from the right side, Springer runs reverse splits against right-handed pitchers.
He slashed .327/.412/.588 vs. RHPs this year and is one of several Blue Jays to have Ohtani’s number.
Springer is 7-for-15 against Ohtani with two home runs.
Tyler Glasnow will likely have a bulk role in this game after Ohtani exits. Springer has hit him hard, too, going 6-for-16 with a home run.
-Perri
Freddie Freeman (+500)
Max Scherzer is putting the finishing touches on a Hall-of-Fame career, and he’s had some awesome moments in this final chapter.
But the ball will be a flight risk for however long he’s on the mound in Game 7.
- Scherzer coughed up two home runs in his first start over the Fall Classic. Dating back to Aug. 25, he has allowed 11 HRs in his past eight starts.
- His 2.08 HR/9 this season is nearly double what his career average was entering the year (1.05 HR/9).
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Freeman didn’t homer off Scherzer back in Game 3, but he does have three HRs and a .429 SLG in this head-to-head matchup (66 plate appearances).
Those aren’t the best power numbers imaginable, but at least the level of familiarity is high.
Freeman, last year’s World Series MVP, hasn’t been as productive this time around. But he’s been better than his numbers suggest.
According to Baseball Savant, Freeman has a .262 xBA against the Blue Jays — compared to a .217 BA (5-for-23).
The first baseman had the walk-off homer to wrap up Game 3 in the 18th inning, and he’s been close to clearing the wall a handful of other times. Freeman has five fly-ball outs with an exit velocity north of 98 mph that travelled at least 350 feet.
I think there’s a good chance someone goes yard off Scherzer, and Freeman is my favourite pick given the price tag.
-Horrobin
World Series prop picks made at 1:55 p.m. ET on 11/01/2025.
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