For Game 7 of the World Series, I’m calling on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to be the hero the Toronto Blue Jays need.
The pregame narrative: Vlad Jr. has been fantastic throughout the postseason, and he’s most responsible for the fact that Toronto is playing for a title on Saturday night. Guerrero enters the winner-take-all game against the Los Angeles Dodgers with an 11-game hit streak.
Check out my World Series prop picks for Game 7 on Nov. 1, featuring a prediction on Bo Bichette.
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World Series prop picks: Game 7
Best bet: Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+102)
If the Blue Jays pull it off tonight and win the whole damn thing, Guerrero will almost certainly be the one hoisting the World Series MVP trophy.
After all, he’s got a .360/.500/.640 slash line against the Dodgers, building on a playoff hit streak that has now stretched to 11 games.
Guerrero has +130 odds to win WS MVP. No other Blue Jay is inside of +4,500 odds for the award.
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We don’t know the Dodgers’ exact pitching plans tonight, though manager Dave Roberts gave the relatively unhelpful “everyone will be available” response to reporters after Game 6.
Shohei Ohtani, who last pitched in Game 4 on Tuesday, is practically a lock to see the mound as a starter or reliever. Same with Tyler Glasnow, who threw three pitches to close out Friday’s game.
Guerrero homered off Ohtani in Game 4, and his career numbers vs. Glasnow are solid: 6-for-19 (.316) with a .579 SLG.
But really, at plus-money odds, I’m content to back Guerrero against whoever the Dodgers send out to the mound.
Bichette’s presence provides more lineup protection for Vlad Jr., so he should get some decent pitches to hit.
Key stat: Guerrero is 9-2 vs. this bases prop in his past 11 games, including a 5-1 clip in the World Series.
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prop prediction
Parlay: Scherzer under 3.5 Ks, Bichette 1+ hits (+123): Scherzer is known to fight against a quick hook, but I don’t think that reputation supersedes the moment he’ll be in tonight.
The 41-year-old should be on a short leash against a Dodgers team with plenty of home run potential.
L.A. uncorked a pair of homers against him in Game 3, when Scherzer struck out three hitters over 4.1 innings.
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Aside from Kevin Gausman, Toronto’s Game 6 starter, everyone should be available for the Blue Jays.
It’s easy to envision a scenario in which Shane Bieber provides length out of the bullpen, with some combination of Chris Bassitt, Louis Varland and Seranthony Dominguez (among others) lining up before closer Jeff Hoffman.
I don’t have faith in Scherzer pitching deep enough into Saturday’s game to cash the over on a 3.5-strikeout line.
With that said, the -162 price point is a bit steep. So I’ve tacked on a hit from Bichette to push this into plus-money range.
Bichette is 5-0 vs. this prop in his five World Series starts. It’s been amazing to see the two-time AL hits leader snap back into elite form after roughly seven weeks off.
World Series prop picks made at 11:55 a.m. ET on 11/01/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.