Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat to close out Thursday’s NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: Wembanyama has been on a rampage to start the season, averaging a 31-point double-double through four games. His Spurs are undefeated and are favoured to beat a Heat team off to a solid 3-1 start of their own.
Check out my Heat vs. Spurs SGP predictions for Oct. 30, featuring Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.
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Heat vs. Spurs predictions
Parlay: Spurs moneyline | Wembanyama 3+ blocks | Castle 6+ assists (+270)
Spurs moneyline (-230): I backed the Raptors to cover a +10.5 spread against San Antonio on Monday, and that failed miserably.
The Spurs won 121-103, marking their third double-digit win in four games. From now on, I’ll be backing San Antonio at home untill it gives me a reason not to.
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Wembanyama has leaned into his size advantage by trimming his 3-point attempts, instead opting to bludgeon opponents in the paint.
The Spurs boast the best net rating (+15.6) and the second-best defensive rating (104.9) in basketball.
Miami’s offence is off to a hot start, with seven players averaging north of 10.0 PPG. That type of depth is admirable, but I want to back the squad with the best player on the court. And no one is playing as well as Wembanyama right now.
NBA SGP legs
Wembanyama 3+ blocks (-286): How good has Wembanyama been so far? Draymond Green said the 7-foot-4 phenom could win the MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, and Most Improved Player of the Year.
I agree with him.
- On top of averaging 31.8 points and 13.9 rebounds, Wemby has put up a staggering 4.8 blocks per game.
- He is 3-1 against this milestone, and he logged nine blocks against the New Orleans Pelicans on Oct. 24.
It seems like a matter of when — not if — that Wembanyama will become the next player to record a quadruple-double.
-> Bet on Wembanyama to win NBA MVP
Miami is a fairly undersized team, with centre Bam Adebayo standing at 6-foot-9. Kel’el Ware, a 7-footer, is getting around 20 minutes of run a night, but he’s still four inches shorter than Wembanyama.
San Antonio will be hosting a block party tonight.
Castle 6+ assists (+100): Castle has elevated his game following a strong Rookie of the Year campaign.
- 2024-25: 14.7 PPG, 4.1 APG, 42.8 FG%
- 2025-26: 18.3 PPG, 4.8 APG, 52.2 FG%
I want to tap into his passing abilities in this mathcup.
The Heat are allowing the sixth-most assists per game to opposing PGs, according to Fantasy Pros.
With Miami lacking size in the interior, I expect Wembanyama to wreak havoc in the paint. Castle is 2-2 against this line, and he should be the one supplying the big man.
Heat vs. Spurs predictions made at 12:30 p.m. ET 10/30/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.