The NFL regular season has reached its halfway point, with 14 games on tap for bettors to tackle against the spread.
The Week 9 narrative: There are a whopping eight home underdogs in Week 9. That includes the Buffalo Bills, who aim to stop the red-hot Kansas City Chiefs. Our staff has mixed feelings on how that game will play out.
Check out our staff’s Week 9 NFL ATS picks for predictions on every game.
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NFL ATS picks: Week 9
NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their Week 9 NFL ATS picks for all 14 games.
NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 30, 2025.
Thursday Night Football pick
Ravens vs. Dolphins (Thursday, Oct. 30: 8:15 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -7.5
Closs says: Welcome back, Lamar Jackson. With the quarterback returning on Thursday, I expect a big effort from the Ravens. The offence is averaging 32.3 points per game with their starting QB under centre, and the Dolphins are a bad defensive team. Miami allows 145.0 rushing yards per contest, so expect Derrick Henry and Jackson to move the ball at will.
Staff picks: Perri (BAL) | Horrobin (MIA) | Closs (BAL) | Toman (BAL) | Psihogios (BAL)
NFL ATS picks: The early Sunday slate
Falcons vs. Patriots (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: New England -5.5
Closs says: How can anyone bet against Drake Maye right now? The sophomore QB has led the Patriots to a 6-2 record behind a top 10 scoring offence. The squad has the eighth-best scoring defence to match and now faces an Atlanta team that was just blown out by the Dolphins. Michael Penix Jr. and Drake London are in jeopardy of missing another game, which would move this line even further in favour of the Pats.
Staff picks: Perri (NE) | Horrobin (NE) | Closs (NE) | Toman (ATL) | Psihogios (ATL)
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Panthers vs. Packers (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -13.5
Toman says: Carolina had a back-to-reality moment in Week 8, losing by 31 at home to the Bills to snap a three-game win streak. Getting back on track at Lambeau seems impossible, but covering this lofty spread isn’t (the Panthers are a strong 5-3 ATS). Despite piling up wins, Green Bay hasn’t covered this number since Week 1.
Staff picks: Perri (CAR) | Horrobin (CAR) | Closs (GB) | Toman (CAR) | Psihogios (GB)
Bears vs. Bengals (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Chicago -3
Horrobin says: Backing the Chicago Bears on the road is something I’m just not going to do. They’re 2-2 with a pair of one-point wins and a pair of losses that came by 13+ points. That includes a blowout defeat against the Lamar Jackson-less Ravens last week, in which they scored just 16 points against a bad defence. Cincinnati might not have Joe Flacco, but the team is at home for a third straight week and covered this number in the previous two.
Staff picks: Perri (CHI) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (CIN) | Toman (CHI) | Psihogios (CIN)
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Broncos vs. Texans (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Houston -1.5
Closs says: I don’t trust the Texans. They are 3-4 this season but 1-4 against teams above .500, with the sole win coming against an injury-riddled 49ers squad. The Broncos (6-2) are on a five-game win streak and just whooped the Cowboys, 44-24. The offence is coming alive to match a top-five defensive unit. The Texans have a strong defence, too, but I have much more faith in Denver’s offence right now.
Staff picks: Perri (DEN) | Horrobin (HOU) | Closs (DEN) | Toman (DEN) | Psihogios (HOU)
Colts vs. Steelers (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Indianapolis -3.5
Perri says: I don’t care about Mike Tomlin’s fantastic record as a home underdog. Pittsburgh’s defence has been horrible, allowing the third-most yards per game, and faces the NFL’s hottest team. Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor are rolling behind an elite offensive line, scoring a league-best 33.8 PPG. Can 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers keep up with that? I doubt it.
Staff picks: Perri (IND) | Horrobin (IND) | Closs (PIT) | Toman (PIT) | Psihogios (PIT)
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Chargers vs. Titans (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -9.5
Perri says: Los Angeles picked up an emphatic 37-10 win on Thursday Night Football in Week 8 with Joe Alt returning to left tackle. The Chargers are now 4-0 in games Alt has played start to finish, and I’m confident Justin Herbert will cook with his blindside covered. Tennessee has lost six of its last eight games by double-digit points.
Staff picks: Perri (LAC) | Horrobin (LAC) | Closs (TEN) | Toman (LAC) | Psihogios (LAC)
Vikings vs. Lions (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -9
Horrobin says: Detroit has dominated this NFC North clash in recent years, posting a 9-1 ATS record since the start of the 2020 season. In their past three home matchups vs. the Vikings, the Lions are 3-0 ATS and covered this number each time. Detroit, which is coming off a bye, has won its three home games this season by a combined 70 points.
Staff picks: Perri (DET) | Horrobin (DET) | Closs (DET) | Toman (DET) | Psihogios (MIN)
49ers vs. Giants (Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -2.5
Toman says: The Giants have played good football at times, leading to a couple of impressive wins. But they’ve also been blown out multiple times, giving up 30-plus points in consecutive weeks. Now they enter Sunday down impact rookie back Cam Skattebo. The banged-up 49ers have been hanging around, and I expect them to do that and more on the road this week.
Staff picks: Perri (SF) | Horrobin (NYG) | Closs (SF) | Toman (SF) | Psihogios (SF)
NFL 4 p.m. slate
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Jaguars vs. Raiders (Sunday, Nov. 2: 4:05 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Jacksonville -3
Perri says: Jacksonville has cooled off after its 4-1 start, losing consecutive games while scoring just 19 points. But Las Vegas has hardly looked competitive this season, and just got boat-raced 31-0 by Kansas City. Geno Smith has been horrible under centre, leading an offence which ranks 31st in scoring and EPA per play. Expect a bounce-back from the Jags.
Staff picks: Perri (JAX) | Horrobin (LV) | Closs (JAX) | Toman (JAX) | Psihogios (LV)
Saints vs. Rams (Sunday, Nov. 2: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -14
Perri says: This is a massive number, but I can’t get behind New Orleans in Tyler Shough’s first NFL start. The 2025 second-round pick is taking over the fourth-worst scoring offence (16.0 PPG) with a line ranking last in pass block win rate. Los Angeles can wreak havoc defensively, and Puka Nacua is expected to make his return. This sure feels like a rout to me.
Staff picks: Perri (LAR) | Horrobin (LAR) | Closs (NO) | Toman (NO) | Psihogios (LAR)
Chiefs vs. Bills (Sunday, Oct. 19: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -2
Horrobin says: Buffalo’s playoff woes against Kansas City are well documented, but the dominance has worked in reverse in lower-leverage spots. The Bills are 4-0 with a +34 point differential in this matchup over the past four regular seasons. Since 2022, Buffalo has the best home record in the NFL (28-5, .840) … and the team is 4-1 SU as a home dog since 2020.
Staff picks: Perri (KC) | Horrobin (BUF) | Closs (BUF) | Toman (BUF) | Psihogios (BUF)
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Sunday and Monday Night NFL ATS picks
Seahawks vs. Commanders (Sunday, Nov. 2: 8:20 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -3
Horrobin says: Jayden Daniels is back, which is great for the Commanders, but I don’t think it’ll be enough. Seattle is 5-2 ATS, covering in all three of its road games. Pro Bowl corner Devon Witherspoon is expected to return for what is already a loaded Seattle defence, which complements an offence that ranks fifth in scoring (27.6 PPG).
Staff picks: Perri (SEA) | Horrobin (SEA) | Closs (SEA) | Toman (WSH) | Psihogios (WSH)
Cardinals vs. Cowboys (Monday, Nov. 3: 8:15 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Cowboys -2.5
Horrobin says: The Cowboys got steamrolled in Denver last week, but they’ve looked great at home so far. From inside Jerry World, Dallas has scored 40+ points in all three of its games and covered this number twice. Arizona hasn’t surpassed the 27-point mark yet this season and enters on a five-game SU losing skid.
Staff picks: Perri (DAL) | Horrobin (DAL) | Closs (DAL) | Toman (DAL) | Psihogios (ARI)
NFL ATS picks: Week 8 + season records: Closs: 5-8-0 (61-60-0) | Psihogios: 3-10-0 (57-64-0) | Toman: 4-9-0 (58-63-0) | Perri: 7-6-0 (59-62-0) | Horrobin: 4-9-0 (56-65-0)
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