Flames vs. Maple Leafs prop picks Oct. 28: Bet on Morgan Rielly to contribute offensively

Maple Leafs picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs host a fellow Canadian team, the Calgary Flames, on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: The Flames are struggling, holding a 2-7-1 record to this point. This is a great opportunity for Toronto to gain some momentum and potentially start a win streak to help climb the Eastern Conference standings.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. the Flames for the game on Oct. 28, featuring Morgan Rielly and Jonathan Huberdeau.

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Maple Leafs picks vs. Flames

Best Bet: Rielly over 1.5 shots (-118)

Rielly started the season on fire, recording six points in his first six games. He was slowed down by a minor injury, but I’m expecting him to get back in a groove starting Tuesday.

The offensive defenceman went under this mark in back-to-back games but recorded 2+ shots in five of the six games before.

Overall, Rielly is averaging 2.6 shots per game, so this line is a fair bit under his standard.

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Plus, this is a great matchup. The Flames have allowed 28 or more shots in nine of 10 games this season.

They also take the third-most penalty minutes per night. That should provide Rielly and the top power play unit a lot of good looks at Dustin Wolf.

Key stat: Rielly has cashed this wager in nine of his last 14 regular season games.

Best NHL prop predictions

Huberdeau to score 1+ points (-108): Toronto’s defence has been struggling too, so I wanted to find a way to back Calgary’s offence.

I think this pick makes a lot of sense, and here’s why:

  • Huberdeau plays the second-most minutes per game among Calgary forwards.
  • He scored three points in two games vs. Toronto last season, going 2-0 against this wager.

The veteran started this season on the injured reserve and has just two points in five games since returning.

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But that doesn’t deter me from this pick. Huberdeau skates on the top line and the first power-play unit, where he will surely be more productive in the future.

And it’s not like the Leafs have been a defensive juggernaut. In fact, they’ve been quite bad. Toronto is allowing the sixth-most goals per game (3.7).

Maple Leafs picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET 10/28/2025.

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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.