A light five-game NBA slate is enough to inspire a trio of prop bets that caught my interest.
The latest: Chet Holmgren is having a fantastic season as the second option on offence for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Expect him to continue his rise against the Sacramento Kings. Before that, Norman Powell and the Miami Heat have a good shot to pile up points against the Charlotte Hornets.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 28, featuring a bet on 3-point sniper Ryan Rollins.
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NBA prop bets
Best bet: Holmgren over 27.5 points/rebounds (-108)
In Jalen Williams’ absence, Holmgren has stepped up for the 4-0 Thunder.
- In four games, the centre is averaging 23.0 points and 10.3 rebounds.
- He is 3-1 against this wager, finishing with 35+ points/rebounds twice.
This line would make more sense to me if this were a tough matchup, but it’s not. The Kings allow the most rebounds per game to centres (19.33), per Fantasy Pros.
Holmgren has such a high offensive floor right now that if he can grab double-digit rebounds for the fourth straight game, I’m confident he’ll smash this line.
-> Bet on Chet Holmgren to have another big game on Tuesday
The 23-year-old big is shooting 56.9% from the field (41.7% from 3) and canning more than 85% of his free throws.
With those splits, he doesn’t need a ton of shooting volume to help cash this pick.
There’s almost always blowout potential when OKC plays, but it’s smart to look past that and play the good numbers when available.
Key stat: Holmgren had 18 points and 10 rebounds in his one meeting with Sacramento last season.
Best NBA picks
Powell over 22.5 points (-118): This pick is based on Powell’s consistency and the matchup at hand.
- The former Toronto Raptor is 2-1 against this line, averaging 24.0 PPG.
- In the one game he fell short, he only played 24 minutes and took 10 shots in a blowout win. He still shot 50% from the field.
- Charlotte is 2-1 but beat the Washington Wizards and Brooklyn Nets. In its loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, the defence gave up 125 points and allowed the Sixers to shoot 46% from deep.
Philly is the most comparable opponent to the Heat, and Powell is the lead candidate to take advantage of the Hornets’ poor perimeter defence.
He scored 28+ points in both games in which he played more than 30 minutes.
-> Back Powell vs. Charlotte at NorthStar Bets
Rollins over 1.5 threes made (-130): Rollins made a name for himself as a 3-point assassin for the Milwaukee Bucks last season.
He took 2.1 threes per game and shot 40.8% from beyond the arc. This year, he’s taking on a lot more volume, but his efficiency has suffered.
- Game 1: 1-for-6 3PT
- Game 2: 1-for-5 3PT
- Game 3: 1-for-5 3PT
Rollins is playing more than 30 minutes per night, so the uptick in shot attempts should continue, and it’s only a matter of time before he starts drilling them at a heightened rate.
This is nothing more than a cold spell. Rollins has proven to be efficient in a starting role before.
In 19 starts last season, the guard went 11-8 against this wager, shooting 40.5% from 3-point range.
NBA prop picks made at 12:35 p.m. ET on 10/28/2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.