I’m targeting a trio of big-name point guards in Saturday’s NBA prop bets.
The latest: Tyrese Maxey is the alpha dog on the Philadelphia 76ers, at least for the time being, and has a great matchup to fill the basket. Elsewhere, Trae Young has had a rough start to the season and is worth fading against the defensively stout Oklahoma City Thunder.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 25, featuring a pick on Denver’s Jamal Murray.
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NBA prop bets
Best bet: Maxey over 26.5 points (-118)
I think it’s fair to wonder if Joel Embiid’s run as an elite scorer is over.
He averaged just 23.8 PPG in 19 games last season, a 10-point dip from his previous two campaigns. Injuries have crippled The Process, who is already on a minutes restriction to start the season.
Embiid scored just four points in 20 minutes against the Boston Celtics in his opener.
All of that is to say, Maxey is the captain for now. The dynamic point guard is an elite bucket-getter and will be asked to do the majority of the damage until Embiid is fully healthy (if that will ever happen is another topic).
-> Bet on Tyrese Maxey to torch the Hornets
Maxey went off for 40 points on 13-of-24 shooting against the Celtics, playing a team-high 41 minutes in the victory.
He has another great opportunity to fill up the stat sheet against the hapless Charlotte Hornets. Charlotte gave up the seventh-most PPG to opposing point guards last season, according to Fantasy Pros.
Key stat: Maxey has averaged 29.4 PPG in his last five games against Charlotte, scoring 30+ points three times.
Best NBA picks
Young under 24.5 points (-113): I think it’s time to admit Young is just not an elite shooter.
He’s shot below 45% from the field in the last three seasons, and his 35.7% career 3-point percentage isn’t anything special.
-> Fade Young against the Thunder at NorthStar Bets
The Atlanta Hawks point guard has been a mess to start this season, shooting 12-for-32 from the field (37.5%) and 2-for-13 from deep (15.4%).
He’s scored 22 of his 47 points at the free throw line.
I can’t picture him getting right against the Thunder, who owned the league’s best defensive rating last season.
OKC also gave up the second-fewest PPG to opposing point guards.
Murray over 20.5 points (-121): I backed Kawhi Leonard to clear this exact number against the Phoenix Suns last night, and he came through with 27 points.
Why am I telling you this? Murray is also playing the Suns, and should be able to exploit a similar weakness in Phoenix’s mid-range defence.
- Leonard ranked in the 95th percentile or greater in mid-range shot frequency in each of the previous six seasons, per Cleaning the Glass.
- Murray is right there with him, ranking in the 80th percentile or greater in six straight seasons.
- Phoenix ranked 22nd in mid-range defence last year and is currently 19th.
Murray dropped 25 points in his first game of the season, and only five of those came on non-two points (one 3, two free throws).
This seems like a great matchup for the Canadian to stay hot.
NBA prop picks made at 11:09 a.m. ET on 10/25/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.