I’m targeting three big names from Friday’s jam-packed NBA slate to produce on the prop market.
The latest: Victor Wembanyama had an outrageous season debut and is in a good spot to keep things rolling on the glass. Elsewhere, look for Anfernee Simons to produce for the Boston Celtics and Kawhi Leonard to clear a relatively light point total.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 24
-> Join NorthStar Bets and start betting on the NBA today!
NBA prop bets
Best bet: Simons over 2.5 threes (-118)
I think it’s only a matter of time before we see Simons’ nightly 3-point line move to 3.5.
The long-time Portland Trail Blazer was traded to the Celtics for Jrue Holiday this offseason, and he’s expected to bring immediate offence to the squad with Jayson Tatum sidelined.
Simons averaged north of 3.0 threes per game in each of his last four years in Portland. In that span, he attempted 8.5 threes a night and shot 38.1% from deep. Pretty darn good.
-> Bet on Anfernee Simons to light up the Knicks from deep
Boston relies on the deep ball more than any team in the NBA — attempting a league-high 47.2 threes per game last year — so it’s no surprise that GM Brad Stevens had Simons in his sights.
Simons did come off the bench in his Celtics debut, but he was one of four Celtics to log 30-plus minutes. That tells me he’s going to get plenty of run on a nightly basis.
New York had an awful perimeter defence last year, so this seems like a good matchup for Simons to exploit.
Key stat: The Knicks had the ninth-worst 3-point defence in the NBA last year (36.4%).
Best NBA picks
Wembanyama over 11.5 rebounds (-143): Wembanyama spent the offseason training with Hakeem Olajuwon, and it looks like The Dream created a nightmare.
Wemby exploded for 40 points and 15 rebounds in his 2025-26 debut, doing the vast majority of his damage from inside the 3-point line (14-for-19 from 2-point range).
His 28.5-point total intrigues me, but I want to tap into his rebounding abilities tonight.
At 7-foot-4, Wembanyama is a matchup headache for any team.
-> Bet on Wemby to clear his rebound total at NorthStar Bets
The New Orleans Pelicans have Zion Williamson, of course, but he only stands at 6-foot-6. They also have some injury concerns at centre with Kevin Looney (knee) out and Yves Missi (ankle) questionable.
Wembanyama has averaged 12.3 rebounds in four starts against NOLA, with at least 10 rebounds in each of those contests.
I think he’s due for another monster night on the glass.
Leonard over 20.5 points (-130): Leonard had a muted season debut, scoring 10 points on 3-for-9 shooting as the Los Angeles Clippers got blown out by the Utah Jazz.
He only played 29 minutes in that matchup, though, and I like his chances of being more active in a closer game against the Phoenix Suns tonight.
Leonard is a mid-range assassin. He ranked in the 95th percentile or greater in mid-range shot frequency in each of the previous six seasons, per Cleaning the Glass.
Phoenix struggled to defend that area of the court last year (22nd in mid-range defence), and I don’t think picking up Dillon Brooks will make much of a difference.
Leonard scored 26 and 28 points in his last two games against Brooks when he was on the Rockets, anyway.
NBA prop picks made at 11:30 a.m. ET on 10/24/2025.
-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.