Entering tonight’s Monday Night Football doubleheader, I’ve got a trio of anytime TD scorer predictions.
The pregame narrative: Amon-Ra St. Brown has terrorized the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in recent matchups, and he’s a dependable scoring option in the red zone for the Detroit Lions. I’m willing to pay for some juice on his TD market while backing plus-money plays elsewhere.
Check out my top anytime touchdown scorer picks for the MNF doubleheader on Oct. 20, featuring Rachaad White and Nico Collins.
Anytime touchdown scorer picks
Best bet: St. Brown to score a TD (-117)
The Buccaneers have a stout run defence, which should encourage the Lions to be a bit more pass-happy near the goal line.
Fortunately, they’re already perfectly comfortable doing that, and St. Brown is the primary beneficiary.
- St. Brown has 12 red zone targets, which is second in the NFL behind only Davante Adams.
- Inside the 10-yard line, St. Brown has seven targets (second-most behind Adams) and has converted those into five touchdowns.
The Bucs’ run defence ranks No. 1 in EPA per play and No. 4 in success rate, per RBSDM.com.
Conversely, their pass defence ranks 23rd in EPA per play and 29th in success rate.
St. Brown didn’t score in Week 5 or 6, but his usage is still sky-high. He had 19 targets across those two games.
The usage has consistent, too. He has multiple red zone targets in five of six games.
If you needed a cherry on top, here it is: St. Brown has feasted against the Bucs in a pair of matchups over the past two seasons. I’m not at all confident in Tampa’s ability to stop him.
Ket Stat: In the previous two seasons, St. Brown tallied 23 catches, 243 yards and a touchdown across two games against the Buccaneers.
More MNF TD picks
White to score a TD (+104): White is one of the last men standing in terms of offensive playmakers for Tampa Bay. And so far, he’s excelled when given the opportunity to shine.
The fourth-year tailback has been Tampa’s starter in back-to-back weeks with Bucky Irving (foot/shoulder) sidelined. Here’s what he’s accomplished in that time:
- Week 5: 18 touches, 71 scrimmage yards, 2 TDs
- Week 6: 20 touches, 86 scrimmage yards, 1 TD
Efficient work isn’t really White’s thing, but that’s OK. The volume has been excellent, and he’s seeing goal line work, too (four carries inside the 10-yard line in the past two games).
This is great value for a back that’s being treated like a bell cow right now.
Texans vs. Seahawks TD prediction
Collins to score a TD (+128): Like Tampa, the Seattle Seahawks have a ferocious run defence that should encourage the Texans to air it out a bit more.
Against the run, Seattle ranks in the top six in success rate and EPA per play. It has also allowed just two rushing TDs through six games.
Collins has the shortest TD odds among Houston Texans players, which makes sense, but this is still a price I like for Monday night.
The 6-foot-4 wideout has scored in three of Houston’s past four games, and he has twice as many red zone targets (six) as any of his teammates.
Anytime touchdown scorer picks made at 11:42 a.m. ET on 10/20/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.