The Atlanta Falcons and San Francisco 49ers meet in an all-NFC showdown on Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Atlanta is coming off its biggest win of the season, while San Francisco continues to suffer with injuries. Both squads are competing for first place in their respective divisions, and in the hunt for top spot in what’s a wide-open NFC.
Check out my +575 Falcons vs. 49ers same-game parlay predictions for Week 7 below, featuring Christian McCaffrey and Kyle Pitts.
Falcons vs. 49ers SGP predictions
SGP: Falcons ML | McCaffrey under 45.5 receiving yards | Pitts over 35.5 receiving yards (+575)
Falcons ML (+112): Atlanta is for real.
The Falcons were already a solid football team last year with one obvious flaw: their pass rush.
But Atlanta addressed that issue in the draft and now has respectable numbers in that department:
- First in blitz percentage (39.9%)
- 11th in sacks (14)
- 32nd in missed tackles (16)
Atlanta is dialling up the blitz and getting home a fair amount.
That’s bad news for Mac Jones, as he was listed with knee and oblique injuries on the practice report this week.
No team is getting hit harder by the injury bug than San Francisco. Standouts Brock Purdy, Nick Bosa, Fred Warner, and Brandon Aiyuk will all miss this game.
You know the injuries are an issue when McCaffrey is the healthiest player on offence.
Sunday Night Football SGP picks
McCaffrey under 45.5 receiving yards (-112): McCaffrey is a perfect 6-for-6 against this line this season.
So why am I backing the under?
Firstly, there should be more competition for targets in this contest. George Kittle is returning for the Niners, while Jauan Jennings should be a little healthier in his second game back from injury.
The matchup is also a major stayaway in this market.
No team has been tougher on opposing running backs in the passing game than Atlanta, allowing a league-low 13.8 receiving yards per game to the position.
Pitts over 35.5 receiving yards (-117): Lastly, I’m expecting Pitts to find some room to operate over the middle of the field.
This pick really boils down to one thing: Warner’s injury. He’s one of the best linebackers in the NFL, boasting elite athleticism and coverage skills.
There’s no replacement for somebody like Warner.
Pitts’ combination of size and speed makes him a difficult matchup for a depleted San Francisco defence.
The tight end has topped this total in four of five games this season.
Falcons vs. 49ers predictions made at 10:35 a.m. on 10/19/2025.
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Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.