The Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers’ NLCS shifts to the West Coast for a pivotal Game 3 on Thursday.
The pregame narrative: L.A. won both games in Milwaukee and can put a stranglehold on this matchup tonight. The Dodgers are heavily favoured behind Tyler Glasnow, who is coming off a stellar performance against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Brewers haven’t announced a starter at the time of writing.
Check out my Brewers vs. Dodgers prop picks for NLDS Game 3, featuring a best bet on Shohei Ohtani.
Dodgers vs. Brewers picks
Best bet: Ohtani over 1.5 bases (+100)
Ohtani is batting just .147 this postseason and has failed to cash this prop in seven straight games.
That can’t last forever, right?
The soon-to-be MVP led MLB in total bases (391) this season, belting 55 home runs with a 1.014 OPS. I’m betting on a regression to the mean tonight.
It’s unclear who will get the ball for Milwaukee, but left-hander Jose Quintana seems like a strong choice to start the game and throw multiple innings.
Ohtani is 2-for-6 against Quintana with a pair of home runs.
After that, Jacob Misiorowski should factor in. The hard-throwing rookie has been great in the postseason and carved the Dodgers up earlier this year, striking out 12 in 6.0 IP … but Ohtani took him deep for 431 feet to begin that ballgame.
You can pull up stats for Ohtani destroying pretty much any pitcher in baseball. It’s an anomaly that he’s been so bad in the playoffs so far, meaning, in my opinion, this line has value.
Key stat: Ohtani slugged .622 at Dodger Stadium this year.
MLB best bets
Glasnow under 15.5 outs (-118): Los Angeles’ bullpen has only thrown one inning this series, after Yoshinobu Yamamoto followed up Blake Snell’s 8.0 innings, throwing a one-hit complete game.
Dave Roberts will have everybody available if Glasnow gets in trouble tonight, and I can see the righty getting an early yank.
Milwaukee’s offence was among the best in baseball this season, and I expect it to rebound in what’s essentially a must-win game.
Two hallmarks of the Brewers’ success are drawing walks and putting the ball in play. They had the fifth-highest walk rate (9.1%) and fifth-lowest K rate (20.3%) in MLB this season.
Glasnow has struggled with his command this year, owning a seventh percentile walk rate. He’s issued 16 free passes in his last 29.1 IP (five in 7.2 IP this postseason).
The righty averaged exactly 15.1 outs during the regular season, so it’s not like this is some crazy playoff-adjusted line.
Brewers vs. Dodgers picks made at 9:14 a.m. on 10/16/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.