The New York Giants host the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles in an all-NFC East battle on Thursday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Philadelphia dominated in the Super Bowl last season, but so far in the new campaign, it hasn’t beaten the brakes off anybody. The Eagles are 7.5-point favourites over a New York squad that earned an underdog win last time the team played at home (Week 3 vs. Chargers).
Check out my Eagles vs. Giants picks for Thursday Night Football Week 6 on Oct. 9, featuring a prop bet on Wan’Dale Robinson and an ATS pick.
Eagles vs. Giants picks
Best Bet: Giants +7.5 (-112)
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The Eagles simply haven’t looked as good as their 4-1 record indicates. And the mediocrity finally caught up to them in Week 5.
After skating by with a handful of one-score wins, Philadelphia allowed the Denver Broncos to score 18 points in the fourth quarter on Sunday to steal a 21-17 victory at Lincoln Financial Field.
Not quite a third of the way through the season, and the defending champs are reportedly hosting multi-hour, players-only meetings. Hmm.
Philly’s offence is out of sync, ranking 30th in total yards and 17th in EPA per play.
Saquon Barkley is expected to play on the short week, but he’s dealing with a knee injury that had him listed as a non-participant in Monday’s practice estimate. And three-time Pro Bowl guard Landon Dickerson is expected to miss a week or two with an ankle injury.
The Giants turned a 14-3 lead into a 26-14 loss in New Orleans last week, so I’m not here to sing their praises. But Jaxson Dart, imperfect as he is, raises the offence’s ceiling.
And the defensive front is loaded with studs that should be able to get to Jalen Hurts, who took six sacks last week.
Key stat: Philadelphia has not yet covered a -7.5 line this season.
Thursday Night Football prop pick
Robinson over 4.5 receptions (-139): Dating back to the start of last season, Robinson is averaging 5.3 receptions on 7.9 targets per game with the Giants.
He runs a lot of crossers and underneath routes, so his yardage ceiling isn’t always high. But the 5-foot-8 receiver sees plenty of targets, and I’m willing to pay this juiced-up price to back him.
- Last year, Robinson had 16 catches on 20 targets in his two matchups against the Eagles.
- Over the past two weeks, he’s tied for the team lead in targets (12). That’s notable because WR1 Malik Nabers went down in Week 4 with a season-ending knee injury, so someone else has to step up.
The other player with 12 targets over the past two weeks is tight end Theo Johnson, but I think the Eagles can keep him bottled up.
Philly has allowed the sixth-fewest receptions and third-fewest yards to opposing TEs this season.
Eagles vs. Giants picks made at 1:20 p.m. ET 10/07/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.