After Sunday’s off-day, both NLDS matchups are back on tap for their respective Game 2s on Monday night.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Blake Snell has carved up the Philadelphia Phillies many times before, including just a few weeks ago. Teoscar Hernandez has put on a laser show so far in the postseason, and he’ll have a good chance to keep that rolling against a familiar left-handed pitcher tonight.
Check out my favourite MLB prop bets for Monday’s postseason action, featuring predictions on Kyle Schwarber and Joey Ortiz.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Snell over 7.5 strikeouts (-108)
The Cy Young version of Snell returned in August, and he seems to be hear to stay.
Snell, who missed most of this season with a shoulder injury, came back on Aug. 2 and turned in these numbers to close out the regular season:
- 9 starts
- 2.41 ERA
- 11.7 K/9
- .209 xBA
- 33% hard-hit rate
The two-time Cy Young winner as absolutely looked the part, as the Phillies know all too well.
Against Snell, Philadelphia’s active lineup is 23-for-137 (.168) with 56 strikeouts and a sub-.300 SLG. That includes a game last month when Snell had 12 Ks over 7.0 scoreless innings.
The Phillies had the 11th-highest K rate vs. left-handers this season (23.8%). And their 35.4% K rate vs. Snell is off the charts.
Leashes tend to be tighter for pitchers in October, and the Dodgers have no reason to push Snell given that his start is sandwiched between two off days. But if he’s cruising, why stand in the way of that?
In his first postseason start as a Dodger, Snell went 7.0 IP vs. the Reds and struck out nine.
Key stat: Snell is 4-2 vs. this prop in his past six outings, averaging 8.5 Ks per start in that span.
MLB postseason player props
Hernandez over 1.5 total bases (+125): Hernandez is 3-0 vs. this prop in the postseason, and I don’t intend to get off the bandwagon with a price this good.
- The former Blue Jay has been a productive playoff contributor for the Dodgers since joining the team last season, slugging .541 and averaging 2.1 total bases over 19 games.
- So far in these playoffs, Hernandez is 5-for-14 with three home runs and a double.
Facing a lefty tonight should give the right-hitting Hernandez an even greater chance to mash. He has a .549 SLG in his career when wielding a platoon advantage.
This particular lefty, Jesus Luzardo, should be a good fit for Hernandez, too. The outfielder is 3-for-8 with two doubles vs. Luzardo in their previous meetings.
Schwarber under 0.5 hits (+100): Schwarber walks and whiffs a ton, which makes him a great guy to fade in this market with Snell on the mound.
Snell’s primary flaw is his walk rate, which has ranked in the bottom 30th percentile every season since 2021, according to Baseball Savant.
He does also have a 96th-percentile whiff rate this year, though, so hitters are often fooled when they see something that looks hittable.
Schwarber’s 33.1% whiff rate ranks in the fifth percentile among hitters, but his 14.9% walk rate is way up in the 97th percentile.
He absolutely mashes when he gets ahold of the ball, but there are also tons of instances in which no contact is made.
Entering tonight, Schwarber is hitless in five consecutive games. He went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in NLDS Game 1.
And against Snell, Schwarber is 2-for-14 with six strikeouts and three walks.
MLB prop bets: Cubs vs. Brewers
Ortiz over 0.5 hits (-125): Ortiz had a sub-.600 OPS this season, which makes him a bit of a tough sell for any overs predictions.
But the right-hitting shortstop is solid against LHPs, and that’s the foundation of this pick.
- Ortiz batted 39-for-135 (.289) vs. LHPs this season.
- Against Cubs lefty Shota Imanaga, Ortiz is 4-for-9 with a double.
Ortiz hardly ever walks (5.3%, 14th percentile) and he rarely strikes out (14.6%, 86th percentile). As long as he continues putting balls in play, he’ll have a chance.
Over his final 15 regular season starts, Ortiz went 12-3 vs. this line.
MLB prop picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET on 10/06/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.