The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees are back in action for Game 2 of the ALDS on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. opened the scoring yesterday with a mammoth home run, and Toronto never looked back in a 10-1 win. Now, the Jays turn to rookie Trey Yesavage, who will try to out-duel Yankees ace Max Fried. New York has won five of Fried’s last six starts and is favoured today.
Check out my Yankees vs. Blue Jays best bets for ALDS Game 2, featuring prop bets on George Springer and Yesavage.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays best bets
Best bet: Springer to score (+105)
Getting Toronto’s leadoff man to score at plus money isn’t something you’d often see during the regular season.
But we’re in October, and I want every piece of this inflated line.
Springer was the Jays’ MVP this year, and his ridiculous second-half helped Toronto secure the No. 1 seed.
- First in OPS (1.121)
- First in wRC+ (210)
- Second in batting average (.369)
- Fourth in runs scored (53)
Springer went 0-4 in Saturday’s series opener, but still walked and scored. He has now cashed this wager in four of his last five games with six total runs.
Fried is obviously an elite talent, but Springer has had the southpaw’s number.
He is 5-for-15 against the lefty with two doubles, no strikeouts, and two walks, and his .334 xBA and .579 xSLG indicate those results were well earned.
Getting aboard seems like a certainty, and I fully trust Toronto’s lineup to drive him home.
The Jays have shelled Fried twice at Rogers Centre this year, scoring 10 runs against him in 11.1 IP. Springer scored in both of those contests.
Key stat: Fried has a career 6.35 ERA at the Rogers Centre.
Other MLB postseason predictions
Yesavage over 4.5 Ks (+105): Yesavage is making his fourth career start today, and I think he’ll have Yankees hitters in knots.
The rookie posted an otherworldly 14.5 K/9 rate in the minors this season, and has looked solid in the big leagues so far:
- Sept. 15 @ TB: 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 9 Ks
- Sept. 21 @ KC: 4.0 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 2 Ks
- Sept. 27 vs. TB: 5,0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 5 Ks
Yesavage posted a 35.4% whiff rate in those outings. Dylan Cease led all qualified pitchers with a 33.4% whiff rate in the regular season.
I’ll cut him some slack for his performance against the Kansas City Royals, who had the second-lowest K rate in MLB.
New York swings freely and owned the sixth-highest K (23.5) and whiff (26.4) rates during the season.
That’s fine and dandy when the Yankees are tearing the cover off the ball, but I’m not sold on their offence through four playoff games.
Aaron Judge is the biggest reason why the team is a threat, but he’s routinely shrunken under the bright lights of the postseason.
I don’t trust him to produce, and think Yesavage should have the leash to pitch into the fifth inning or deeper if he can get through the heart of New York’s order twice.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays best bets as of 8:17 a.m. on 10/05/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.