The Detroit Tigers have the early advantage over the Seattle Mariners in the ALDS.
The pregame narrative: Detroit squeaked out a 3-2 win behind solid pitching from starter Troy Melton and seven different bullpen arms. On Sunday, the Tigers have the luxury of sending out ace Tarik Skubal to counter Luis Castillo for the Mariners in Game 2.
Check out my +310 Tigers vs. Mariners predictions for Game 2, featuring prop bets on Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh.
Tigers vs. Mariners predictions
Parlay: Mariners +1.5 | Rodriguez 1+ hits | Raleigh 1+ hits (+310)
Mariners +1.5 (-186): I like Seattle’s chances of tying the series, so I’ll take a stab at the runline in this SGP.
Skubal is an obvious advantage whenever he’s on the mound, but he’s been more human against the Mariners in two starts this season.
- In 10.2 innings, the Tigers ace allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs. He walked five batters in those starts, which is a sign that the Mariners at least see Skubal better than other teams.
- Seattle went 2-0 in those games, and Skubal allowed 3+ earned runs in both starts.
Castillo also happened to start both of those contests. The postseason is a different beast, but that’s two games of direct correlation to go off of.
We also can’t forget the run the Mariners went on to win the AL West. They won 17 of their final 21 regular-season games.
MLB SGP legs
Rodriguez 1+ hits (-134): Only two players had hits on the Mariners yesterday. Rodriguez had three, and superstar catcher Raleigh had three, but more on him later.
That isn’t going to win ball games, but it’s encouraging to see Seattle’s top two hitters do some damage in Game 1.
- Rodriguez was on a tear down the stretch. He had a .304 batting average over his final 29 games. He went 22-7 against this wager in those games.
- In Skubal’s last start against the Mariners on June 11, Rodriguez hit a two-run homer off the lefty in the fifth inning.
The slugging outfielder is hot right now and has a ton of value on his hits prop because of the matchup. But I’m confident Rodriguez can break through.
Raleigh 1+ hits (-124): Let’s get back to Raleigh.
He had a historic season, becoming the first catcher and switch-hitter in MLB history to hit 60 home runs.
Raleigh doesn’t have the best head-to-head stats against Skubal, going 2-for-9 in his career, but he does have a bomb off the lefty.
And let’s be honest, Raleigh was a low-contact swing and miss hitter with some pop before becoming truly elite this season.
In both games Skubal started this season vs. Seattle, Raleigh is 2-0 on this wager.
Additionally, he had at least a hit in 21 of 25 games to close out the regular season. This is another instance where I’ll back a streaking hitter with some strong value in a tough matchup.
Tigers vs. Mariners predictions as of 9:39 a.m. on 10/05/2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.