A must-see title rematch between Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira headlines Saturday’s stacked UFC 320 card.
The pre-fight narrative: Ankalaev snatched the light heavyweight crown from Pereira in March, handing the Brazilian his first loss in the weight class, and is favoured to win Round 2. Before that, Merab Dvalishvili defends his bantamweight title against Cory Sandhagen.
Check out the odds, fight card and my UFC 320 predictions for the Oct. 4 fight in Las Vegas.
UFC 320 predictions
Best bet: Dvalishvili to win, Ankalaev/Pereira over 2.5 rounds (-120)
I’m looking to get in on the main and co-main events with this parlay.
Let’s start with Dvalishvili, who has torn apart the bantamweight division during his 13-fight winning streak.
It hasn’t been the flashiest run — only two of those came via finish — but it sure has been effective.
The Georgian is known for his elite ground game, but is also a strong standup fighter. Dvalishvili stands at 5-foot-6, five inches shorter than Sandhagen, but is almost equal in reach.
He should neutralize the Americans’ brawling tendencies before landing one of many takedowns.
Sandhagen was bullied by Umar Nurmagomedov when they battled in 2024, getting taken down five times and losing handily.
Dvalishvili also faced Nurmagomedov and dominated him, so I really don’t think this will be close.
Now we can turn to the main event.
Ankalaev picked up a gritty, five-round win over Pereira when they last fought. He went 0-for-12 on takedowns and turned the tide of the fight after the first few rounds with strong striking instead.
I think the Dagestani will have more success wrestling in this matchup, after insisting he was gassed in the first meeting because of fasting during Ramadan.
If that holds true, a methodical ground game would bleed time off the clock.
Pereira is a KO machine and will certainly look to land a big combo early, but Ankalaev is a sneakily strong striker and has never been put out in his career.
Key stat: Six of Ankalaev’s last nine fights have gone the distance.
Fight card and odds
| Fighter | Odds | Weight class | Odds | Fighter |
| Magomed Ankalaev (C) | -275 | Middleweight | +200 | Alex Pereira (1) |
| Merab Dvalishvili (C) | -400 | Featherweight | +290 | Cory Sandhagen (4) |
| Jiri Prochazka (2) | -223 | Welterweight | +165 | Khalil Rountree Jr. (4) |
| Josh Emmett (8) | +375 | Middleweight | -550 | Youssef Zalal (9) |
| Abus Magomedov | +200 | Flyweight | -264 | Joe Pyfer |
UFC 320 odds as of 4:15 p.m. on 10/03/2025.
UFC best bet
Magomedov to win (+200): The main card opens with a matchup between Magomedov and Pyfer, which I think should be priced much closer to a pick’em.
These two have wildly contrasting fight styles, with Magomedov leaning heavily on kickboxing and his ground game, landing 2.65 takedowns per fight with a spotless 100% takedown defence.
On the other side, Pyfer is a brawler with knockout power, throwing 3.74 sig. strikes per minute.
Magomedov will want to keep his distance from Pyfer’s combinations, relying on his strong leg kick while eying the chance for a takedown.
Both fighters stand at 6-foot-2, with Magomedov having a slight reach advantage and leg reach.
The Russian has won three straight fights, with two coming via decision, quieting some concerns about his cardio. As long as Magomedov can sustain Pyfer’s early onslaught, I like his chances of turning this into a slog and winning on points.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.