The defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers can advance to the NLDS with a win on Wednesday night over the Cincinnati Reds.
The pregame narrative: Cincinnati’s back is against the wall after a 10-5 loss last night at Dodger Stadium. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has already shut down the Reds once this year, and the Dodgers will look for him to do that again tonight.
Check out my +700 Reds vs. Dodgers predictions, featuring prop bets on Teoscar Hernandez and Tyler Stephenson.
Reds vs. Dodgers predictions
Parlay: Dodgers -1.5 | Hernandez over 1.5 bases | Stephenson under 1.5 bases (+700)
Dodgers -1.5 (-138): The Dodgers’ dominance of the Reds continued on Tuesday night, and I expect the defending champs to close this one out in convincing fashion.
- L.A. is 6-1 with a +20 run differential against Cincy this year. The Dodgers have covered a -1.5 run line in four straight meetings.
- In Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s lone start vs. the Reds this season, he tossed 7.0 innings of one-run ball in a 5-2 win.
Yamamoto’s July 28 start against the Reds sparked a stellar run to close out the regular season. Over his final 10 outings, the right-hander posted a 2.10 ERA and a 10.8 K/9.
He only allowed three runs and 11 hits over his final 34.0 IP.
Cincinnati’s Zack Littell, meanwhile, posted a 4.39 ERA and a 6.9 K/9 in his final 10 outings of the season.
Offensively, the Reds entered the postseason with the worst wRC+ among NL playoff teams (92). The Dodgers (113 wRC+) rank first in that field.
L.A. simply overmatches Cincy in every facet and should get this done.
MLB SGP legs
Hernandez over 1.5 total bases (+125): Hernandez was a spark plug for L.A.’s offence last night, going 3-for-5 with a pair of home runs and four RBI.
One swing of the bat could easily cash this bet, especially against Littell, who had the second-highest HR/9 among 52 qualified pitchers (1.74).
Hernandez is 2-for-4 vs. Littell. The former Blue Jay is 8-9 vs. this prop in his past 17 games.
Littell is a great pitcher to target on bases props because his strikeout and walk numbers are low, while his contact quality allowed is high.
According to Baseball Savant, Littell ranks in the 98th percentile in walk rate, the 12th percentile in K rate and the 21st percentile in barrel rate.
Stephenson under 0.5 hits (-118): Stephenson has a seventh-percentile xBA (.226) and went hitless in 37 of 82 starts this year (45.1%).
Also, his 33.9% K rate is the fifth-highest among 277 hitters with at least 300 plate appearances.
Stephenson went 0-for-3 with three strikeouts vs. Yamamoto this season in their lone matchup against each other.
Reds vs. Dodgers predictions as of 2:55 p.m. on 10/01/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.