The 2025-26 NHL season is around the corner, and the Toronto Maple Leafs will have a different look after busting up their core four.
Can the Mitch Marner-less Leafs repeat as Atlantic Division winners? Is there any hope for a Stanley Cup in Toronto this season?
Those are some of the questions worth exploring as we dive into Maple Leafs betting markets and make our best futures predictions for the upcoming season.
Maple Leafs futures markets
Check out all Maple Leafs and NHL futures markets. Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.
| Maple Leafs futures | Betting odds |
| Over 99.5 points | +100 |
| Under 99.5 points | -125 |
| To reach the playoffs – Yes | -360 |
| To reach the playoffs – No | +270 |
| To win the Atlantic Division | +300 |
| Odds to win Stanley Cup | +1,700 |
Maple Leafs futures odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET on 09/29/2025.
The Atlantic Division should be competitive once again, with the Florida Panthers maintaining their core and the Tampa Bay Lightning remaining strong from top to bottom.
With the departure of Marner, the Leafs hold the third-shortest odds to win the Atlantic behind those two powerhouses.
The Ottawa Senators, who have loads of young talent and are expected to improve after making the playoffs in 2024-25, are behind the Leafs.
- Lightning: +200
- Panthers: +225
- Maple Leafs: +300
- Senators: +650
- Canadiens: +1,400
Toronto is coming off a 53-26-4 season and managed to retain most of its roster with some big cuts to the payroll.
Maple Leafs futures prediction
Best bet: Over 99.5 points (+100)
A lot went right for Toronto last season. The result was 108 points and the team’s first Atlantic Division title.
Repeating that will be difficult, as will replacing Marner’s 102-point season. But a handful of more games from captain Auston Matthews would help.
Matthews missed 15 games with an injury and was quiet in Toronto’s seven-game series loss to the Panthers.
Matthew Knies taking another step would also be crucial. He had a career-high 58 points last season as a 22-year-old.
The defence is still solid with elite goaltending standing behind them. Anthony Stolarz had the best save percentage (.926) in the NHL.
Because of that, Toronto boasted a top-10 defence, allowing the sixth-fewest goals against per game (2.79).
That should be the case again this season, while Matthews, Knies, William Nylander and John Tavares are enough to give the Leafs immense offensive upside.
Maple Leafs futures markets: Player props
Prediction: Nylander over 83.5 points (-112)
Nylander led the Leafs with 45 goals last season but had his fewest assists (39) since 2020-21.
The year before last, he had a career-high 58 assists and 98 points. With Marner leaving, the extra production will be needed.
Nylander had just 16 secondary assists last season, tied for 75th in the NHL and the same amount as Oliver Ekman-Larsson.
Based on how much of the offence flows through the winger, this is an indication of some bad luck.
Even though he didn’t rack up as many points as expected last season, Nylander still cleared this mark, and there’s no reason to think more production isn’t coming.
Matthews futures prop bet
Prediction: Matthews over 44.5 goals (-130)
Matthews had a bad offensive year by his standards.
His 33 goals were the fewest he’s ever had, but some things were working against him.
- Beyond the injuries, Matthews dealt with bad luck, plain and simple. According to MoneyPuck, he led the NHL with 41.1 expected goals.
- For reference, Leon Draisaitl led the league with 52 goals but had significantly less xG (31.4).
Surprisingly, Matthews is only 3-3 against this wager over his past six seasons, but he did score 60 twice, demonstrating his ceiling smashes this line.
The 28-year-old ranked in the 98th percentile for shots on goal last season (261) but had a below-average 12.6 shooting percentage.
Matthews will continue to shoot the puck at an alarming rate, and there’s a lot that can be improved on. That’s why I’m buying in on the bounce back.
Maple Leafs futures markets as of 3:30 p.m. on 09/29/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.