A rising star receiver highlights my best NFL Week 3 prop picks.
The pregame narrative: Rome Odunze is breaking out as a sophomore and has a good chance to go off against the Dallas Cowboys. Elsewhere, I believe Tony Pollard will rumble against the Indianapolis Colts.
Check out my top Week 3 NFL prop bets, featuring a fade on Cleveland Browns running back Quinshon Judkins.
NFL prop bets: Week 3
Best bet: Odunze over 4.5 receptions (-143)
The second-year wideout is making his claim as the top wide receiver for the Chicago Bears.
He’s on pace to smash his career highs after struggling to meet expectations in his rookie campaign.
Odunze has certainly built chemistry with Caleb Williams, and Ben Johnson is keen to use his young receiver as much as possible.
- The 23-year-old Odunze has been targeted 20 times by Williams in two games. It’s led to 13 receptions, 165 yards and three touchdowns.
- Odunze leads Chicago’s pass catchers in offensive snaps. He’s played 131 snaps (97%) and run 82 routes.
The top-10 pick from the 2024 draft hasn’t been targeted fewer than nine times in a game. That creates a really solid floor for his production.
The matchup is important, too, and this is a good one for WRs. The Cowboys have the third-worst defensive EPA per dropback, per RBSDM.com.
Key stat: In 2024, Odunze averaged 3.2 receptions per game. He’s upped that number to 6.5 through two weeks, going 2-0 against this line.
Best NFL picks
Pollard over 85.5 rushing/receiving yards (-118): Pollard started slow in Week 1, but I expect more of what we saw last Sunday.
- Week 1: 18 rushes, 60 yards (3.3 yards per carry)
- Week 2: 20 rushes, 92 yards (4.6 YPC)
Thanks to a 29-yard reception in the first game, the running back is 2-0 on this wager.
There really isn’t much competition in the Tennessee Titans’ backfield, so Pollard is taking on a bell cow role, He played 89% of snaps in both games.
Pollard only has the one reception, but that’s bound to change. He had 41 receptions in 16 games last year.
The Colts’ defence isn’t very good at stopping the run, either. They allow the fourth most YPC in the NFL (5.3).
Judkins under 42.5 rushing yards (-118): I have high hopes for Judkins in his tenure as the RB1 for the Browns.
That said, this fade is all about the matchup.
With Micah Parsons roaming around for the Green Bay Packers, the defence looks generational.
- In Week 1, the dynamic duo of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery ran for 44 yards on a total of 20 carries.
- In Week 2, Austin Ekeler and Jacory Croskey-Merritt combined for 34 yards on 12 rushes.
It’s worth noting that the Detroit Lions put up 52 points on the Bears after being held to 13 against the Packers.
The Browns (+7.5) are expected to be playing from behind, which would limit the number of attempts Judkins gets.
NFL prop bets made at 12:48 p.m. ET on 09/19/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.