In the last MLB matchup on Labour Day, the Arizona Diamondbacks host the Texas Rangers.
The pregame narrative: Arizona took two of three in Texas a few weeks ago, but the Rangers have been the hotter squad lately. Texas is 8-1 in its past nine games, with seven multi-run wins in that span.
See why I like plenty of offence in my Rangers vs. Diamondbacks SGP predictions for Sept. 1, along with prop bets on Corbin Carroll and Josh Jung.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks predictions
Parlay: Carroll over 0.5 RBI | Jung over 0.5 hits | Over 7.5 runs (+280)
Carroll over 0.5 RBI (+132): Lefty-on-lefty matchups don’t scare Carroll. Especially not with the way he’s swinging the bat right now.
- Carroll posted a .292/.374/.611 slash line in August, collecting 18 extra-base hits in 29 games.
- The outfielder had 21 RBI in those 29 games, going 16-13 vs. this prop.
- On the season, Carroll is slugging .490 vs. left-handed pitchers.
At 5-foot-10 and with blistering speed, Carroll looks more like a leadoff man than an RBI producer. But he has tons of pop and was justifiably moved to Arizona’s No. 3 spot two and a half weeks ago.
Carroll is 3-for-8 in his career against Rangers southpaw Patrick Corbin.
More importantly, the two hitters in front of him — Geraldo Perdomo, Ketel Marte — are a combined 10-for-21 vs. Corbin.
MLB SGP legs
Jung over 0.5 hits (-278): Eight games don’t amount to much over a long MLB season, but Jung has put together a staggeringly good eight-game stretch entering Monday:
- 17-for-34 (.500)
- 1.308 OPS
- 6 extra-base hits
- 8 RBI
The third baseman is 2-for-4 against Arizona’s Ryne Nelson, including a double when they last met Aug. 11.
Nelson (7-3, 3.53 ERA) is having a solid year, but he gives up plenty of loud contact.
The right-hander ranks in the fifth percentile in average exit velocity (91.5 mph) and in the 41st percentile in expected batting average (.254).
Jung has cashed this bet in 23 of 29 starts since the all-star break.
Over 7.5 runs (-215): This over has cashed in eight of Nelson’s 10 starts since July. That includes a 7-6 win for the Rangers last month.
On the other side, we’re starting to see the version of Corbin bettors are accustomed to — meaning, a guy who gives up a lot of hits and runs.
He tossed eight shutout innings against the woeful Angels last time out, but Corbin has still been mostly bad in recent weeks. Prior to that start, he’d allowed 20 runs in 18.1 innings over five outings.
Since the start of the 2022 season, Corbin has the highest opponent batting average (.293) and the third-highest ERA (5.40) among 146 qualified pitchers.
Arizona is fifth in MLB in scoring (4.93 runs/game), but Texas can do damage, too.
The Rangers have scored 50 runs during a five-game winning streak.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks predictions made at 3:40 p.m. ET on 09/01/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.