A New York Yankees hitter and pitcher find their way into my Boston Red Sox vs. Yankees prop bets.
The pregame narrative: New York has firmly been little brother this season in baseball’s most storied rivalry. Boston owns a dominant 8-1 record over its divisional foe. Cody Bellinger is seeing the ball well, and there’s value in him bringing home a run.
Check out my Red Sox vs. Yankees prop bets, featuring a prop bet on Carlos Rodon.
Red Sox vs. Yankees prop bets
Best Bet: Bellinger over 0.5 RBI (+143)
Bellinger is playing some great baseball lately.
Here’s how the Yankees star has performed across several key stats in his last 10 games.
- .275 average
- .575 SLG
- 23 total bases
- Four HRs
- Nine RBI
The latter is the most relevant for this prop, and a very encouraging sign.
Another positive for Bellinger is the matchup on Sunday.
The Red Sox are sending Dustin May to the mound, and “Big Red” isn’t having an impressive campaign.
May has an underwhelming 4.59 ERA and an equally concerning 4.48 FIP.
The advanced numbers also paint a pretty ugly picture:
- 17th percentile xERA (4.81).
- 27th percentile xBA (.264).
- 15th percentile hard hit percentage (45.3).
His propensity to give up frequent hard contact is problematic against a power hitter like Bellinger.
The outfielder is 24th in SLG among all hitters this season (.492).
Key stat: Bellinger is 25th among all big leaguers in RBI (75).
Best MLB pick
Rodon under 6.5 strikeouts (-110): I can appreciate that Rodon is one of the stronger strikeout arms in MLB. His 82nd percentile strikeout rate proves it.
But I can also appreciate that this is a lofty number for the Yankees hurler, especially considering his recent form.
Rodon has fallen short of this mark in three of his last four starts and seven of his last 10.
In fact, Rodon has four or fewer strikeouts in four of those starts.
Boston is one of the more swing-happy teams in the league, ranking 27th in strikeouts per game (8.81), but that hasn’t translated into big K totals from Rodon this year.
Rodon is 0-2 against this number this year versus the Red Sox, notching nine strikeouts in those two outings.
I’ll gladly continue fading Rodon’s strikeout prop until he gets back to his old ways.
Red Sox vs. Yankees prop bets made at 12:38 p.m. ET on 08/24/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.