The Los Angeles Dodgers can complete an important sweep at home over the San Diego Padres on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: L.A. now leads the NL West by one game and can build on that with another win over the Padres. The Dodgers are favoured in this contest behind Tyler Glasnow, but Yu Darvish has been dialled in over his recent starts.
Check out my Padres vs. Dodgers predictions, including props on Glasnow and Andy Pages.
Padres vs. Dodgers predictions
Parlay: Under 9.5 runs | Glasnow over 5.5 Ks | Pages over 0.5 hits (+325)
Under 9.5 runs (-190): I decided to tease up the total and take the under behind two streaking pitchers.
Let’s start with Darvish. He started the season slowly off the IL, recording a 9.18 ERA over his first four starts.
But take a look at his turnaround over his last three starts:
- 17.0 innings pitched
- 2.12 ERA (2.88 FIP)
- 18 Ks to only 2 walks allowed
He’s been looking like prime Darvish again, and that should be a scary sight for the Dodgers.
In 234 total at-bats, L.A.’s offence has 47 hits. That equates to a .201 average.
The Dodgers have a lot of lefty bats that struggle in this matchup.
The most notable being Shohei Ohtani, who’s 1-for-11 off Darvish in his career with five Ks.
I’ll write more on Glasnow in my next pick, but just know he has a similarly dominant past against the Padres.
MLB SGP legs
Glasnow over 5.5 Ks (-118): Let’s begin with Glasnow’s history against the Padres.
- In 83 plate appearances, San Diego’s offence has more Ks (28) than hits (10), and it’s not close.
- That equals out to a .127 average and 33.7% K rate.
The big righty has also been dealing over his past six starts:
- 2.34 ERA
- 10.8 K/9
- 4-2 against this line
There really isn’t too much to think about here. Glasnow has shoved against San Diego in the past and is pitching at an elite level right now.
The Padres strike out the fewest times per game in the NL, but I don’t think it matters in this matchup. Plus, bettors are getting a better line.
Pages over 0.5 hits (-190): Pages is hitless in this series and the last three games overall, but check out his seven games before that:
- .371 average
- .915 OPS
- 1+ hit in all seven games
He also hits lefties at a .295 clip this season while holding a .268 average against righties.
I don’t expect L.A. to have much success in this matchup with Darvish, but I’m optimistic about Pages’ chances of landing at least a base knock.
Padres vs. Dodgers predictions made at 1:33 p.m. ET on 08/17/2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.