The 2025 Cincinnati Open women’s semifinal will be played on Sunday with three of the world’s top 10 players in the mix.
The pre-match narrative: The action will start with Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina meeting for the fourth time this season. After that, Veronika Kudermetova and Jasmine Paolini battle for the remaining spot in the final.
Check out my top Cincinnati Open tennis predictions for the women’s semifinal.
Cincinnati Open predictions
Best bet: Swiatek -2.5 games (-112)
Swiatek had a rough start to the season, but she’s in top form ahead of her semifinal appearance at the Cincinnati Open.
- She’s won 15 of her last 18 matches, covering this spread in every win.
- Swiatek is 26-7 on hardcourts this season and 139-26 since the start of 2022.
On top of that, she’s 3-0 vs. Rybakina this year, winning the two matches contested on hardcourts in straight sets.
Rybakina is no slouch, but she hasn’t been nearly as dominant as her counterpart at this event.
She did just knock off world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in straight sets, but needed all three sets to win the other three matches.
Because of that, she’s played almost twice as much tennis to get to the final as Swiatek.
There are too many advantages to ignore for the favourite in this matchup.
Key stat: Swiatek has won every match at the Cincinnati Open in straight sets by an average of 5.7 games
Kudermetova vs. Paolini best bet
Paolini to win (-125): Kudermetova has been impressive at the Cincinnati Open, winning four of her five matches in straight sets.
But I can’t ignore her lack of competition en route to the final.
She has played two top-20 opponents, with the highest-ranked being Clara Tauson (No. 15). That’s also the match in which she struggled the most, needing to go the distance to win.
Paolini is on a tier above those players, ranking No. 9 in the world and recently being in the top five.
She also has the best win of the duo, eliminating Coco Gauff in the quarterfinal.
Paolini is 32-13 this season and was able to win the other three matches without much issue.
The Italian can be streaky, but everything points to her being on the rise right now, and I love the value on her in this spot.
Cincinnati Open predictions made at 9:51 a.m. on 08/17/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.