Thursday’s MLB nightcap between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies has shootout potential.
The pregame narrative: Two struggling pitchers — Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) and Bradley Blalock (COL) — are throwing at mile-high Coors Field. Offence should be a given, as tonight’s game boasts a monster 12.5 game total.
Check out my Diamondbacks vs. Rockies predictions, including props on Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Warming Bernabel.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies predictions
Parlay: Over 9.5 runs | Gurriel over 0.5 RBI | Bernabel over 0.5 hits (+320)
Over 9.5 runs (-315): I was debating teasing this total up to 14.5 runs and taking the under, simply given the number, but was worried it wouldn’t hit.
After all, six straight Rockies home games have gone over 12.5 runs, with an average of 18.5 runs scored in those contests – no, that’s not a typo.
So I feel like this total should be a breeze, given the pitchers on the mound.
Rodriguez has a 5.68 ERA this year. He just gave up five earned runs to the Rockies in Arizona five days ago in a game which finished over this total.
Blalock, meanwhile, has an 11.76 ERA in four home starts, while surrendering a .387 opponent batting average.
MLB SGP legs
Gurriel over 0.5 RBI (-125): Gurriel is batting cleanup for the D-backs ahead of Geraldo Perdomo, Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll.
Take a look at what those three have done in August:
- Perdomo: .378/.491/.600 slash line
- Marte: .364/.451/.636 slash line
- Carroll: .250/.321/.604 slash line
You don’t often see RBI props at minus odds, but it makes sense here.
Gurriell is hitless in his last three games, but should have every opportunity to get off the schneid, and can even cash this with a fielder’s choice or sack fly.
Bernabel over 1.5 bases (+105): Finally, I’m looking for an underrated rookie to hit for power.
Bernabel is slashing .294 with an .848 OPS in 17 games with the Rockies, and has raked in a small six-game sample at home.
- .346 batting average
- .615 slugging percentage
- Four XBH
The shortstop also makes a ton of contact, striking out in just 13.0% of at-bats while walking in 1.4% of at-bats.
Rodriguez has given up 24 earned runs and eight home runs in 31 IP since the start of July.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies predictions made at 2:30 p.m. ET on 08/14/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.