Carlos Alcaraz headlines Tuesday’s Cincinnati Open predictions.
The pregame narrative: The ATP World No. 2 survived a scare in his opener but should make light work of the unseeded Hamad Medjedovic in the round of 32. Elsewhere, a Wimbledon rematch between Coco Gauff and Dayana Yastremska has my attention.
Check out my top Cincinnati Open predictions for Aug. 12.
Cincinnati Open predictions
Best Bet: Medjedovic under 8.5 games won (-125)
This is a great way to back Alcaraz without paying extraordinary premiums on his outright (-835) or straight-set (-225) lines.
His game spread is set at -4.5, which should be a breeze, but I find this “fade” on Medjedovic a bit safer.
A 6-4, 6-4 win for Alcaraz would get this done, and I can easily see the Spaniard closing things out without dropping a serve.
This year, Alcaraz has tended to start tournaments slowly before finding his rhythm. He needed five sets to get past the first round at Wimbledon before cruising to the final.
That same narrative rang true on Sunday, when the No. 2 seed won 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 against 33-year-old Damir Dzumhur.
Alcaraz only had a 60% first serve rate, but he made up for it by winning 65% of his second serves and converting five of 10 break points.
Medjedovic only wins 17% of his return games, which would rank 67th on the ATP Tour had he played enough matches to qualify. I expect Alcaraz to dial in his serve for Tuesday’s match and limit his mistakes on that side of the court.
Key stat: Alcaraz is on a 17-match winning streak against opponents outside of the ATP top 50, winning 11 of those matches in straight sets.
Yastremska vs. Gauff best bet
Yastremska/Gauff Over 20.5 games (-112): Confidence is key in tennis, and I’m sure Yastremska is oozing with it right now.
The Ukrainian is 8-3 since the start of Wimbledon, and that run began by knocking off Gauff in straight sets in the opening round.
I’m sure the WTA No. 2-ranked player will want some revenge, but I don’t think it will come so easily. Two of Yastremska’s three losses in that 11-match span went over this total, with the outlier landing on exactly 20 games.
Gauff has also struggled since her victory at the French Open, going 3-3 with two of those wins requiring three sets.
The American has had a dizzying 50 double faults in her last four matches, and that should help Yastremska secure breaks and extend this Wimbledon rematch over the total.
Cincinnati Open predictions made at 1:03 p.m. on 08/11/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.