On a Sunday loaded with early afternoon games, I’ve got two MLB prop bets from games starting before 2:30 p.m. ET.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Cody Bellinger has swung a powerful bat against Phillies ace Zack Wheeler in the past, and he’s got compelling value on his bases prop today amid a hot streak. Later on, Luis Arraez looks to continue piling up hits.
Check out my top MLB prop bets for July 27.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Bellinger over 1.5 total bases(+130)
Wheeler is on the mound for the Phillies today, which means it’ll be an uphill battle for the Yankees’ offence.
But Bellinger is a guy who can break through, as he has against Wheeler in the past.
- Bellinger is 6-for-15 (.400) against Wheeler, and all six hits went for extra bases (five HRs, one double).
- Last year, while playing for the Cubs, Bellinger cashed this bet with a double in his lone game against Wheeler.
Also, Bellinger is blazing hot right now, slugging .700 in his past 21 games. He’s 13-8 vs. this prop in that span.
Key stat: Bellinger has a .576 SLG in 50 home games this season.
Best MLB picks
Arraez over 1.5 hits (+125): Arraez is one of the very few players I look at in the 1.5 hits market.
Why? Because he’s a three-time batting champ who rarely walks or strikes out. So there are always ample opportunities for hits to drop in.
Fuelled by MLB’s lowest strikeout rate, Arraez only walks or strikes out in 7.4% of his plate appearances.
He’s not on a batting-title-tear this season, but the high-contact infielder has enjoyed a solid little run lately. Over his past nine games, he’s batting .361 with four multi-hit performances.
Arraez will face St. Louis rookie Michael McGreevy, who has allowed 14 hits while striking out just two batters over his past two starts.
Left-hitting players — for which Arraez is one — have a .363 xBA against McGreevy this year.
MLB prop picks made at 11:29 a.m. ET on 07/27/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.