The Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels wrap up Thursday’s five-game MLB slate.
The pregame narrative: Los Angeles is slightly favoured in the series opener and looks to rebound after getting swept by the New York Mets. I’m staying away from picking a side, though, and am instead targeting three player props, with plays on sluggers Mike Trout and Cal Raleigh.
Check out my Mariners vs. Angels predictions, featuring Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi.
Mariners vs. Angels predictions
Parlay: Kikuchi over 17.5 outs | Raleigh over 0.5 hits | Trout over 0.5 hits (+325)
Kikuchi over 17.5 outs (-117): Kikuchi is generally given a chance to clear this line.
Los Angeles’ southpaw has worked into the sixth inning in 16 of his 21 starts, but has only closed out the frame nine times. Still, I like the opportunities and believe he can capitalize on Thursday.
Seattle has struggled to hit left-handed pitching over the last 30 days.
It ranks 29th in batting average (.193) and 26th in OBP (.271) in that span while striking out at the fifth-lowest clip (20.5%).
That tells me Kikuchi can keep his pitch count low by forcing soft contact and leaning on his slider, which he throws 37% of the time.
Seattle has the fourth-lowest batting average against sliders from LHP this season (.168).
Kikuchi has cleared this line in three of his last four starts against Seattle with a 0.39 ERA in those outings.
MLB SGP legs
Raleigh over 0.5 hits (-210): One Mariner who can crush that slider is Raleigh. To be fair, the catcher has crushed practically everything from left-handed pitching this season.
- Raleigh vs sliders from LHP: .333 batting average, .667 slugging percentage
- Raleigh vs. LHP: .321 batting average, .807 slugging percentage
The MVP candidate got a day off last night and recorded a hit in four of five games before that.
There’s no need to overthink this leg. Raleigh should feast.
Trout over 0.5 hits (-265): I like Trout’s chances of getting a knock tonight.
The three-time MVP is batting .259 over his last 25 games with a hit in 19 of those contests.
Logan Evans starts for the Mariners, and the rookie has allowed 18 hits in 14.1 innings since being recalled from Triple-A.
Evans also has command issues, which is worrisome, given Trout’s 98th percentile BB rate (15.2%).
But I still think the value on this leg is solid, as it drives the SGP up from +195 to +325.
Mariners vs. Angels predictions made at 11:30 a.m. ET on 07/24/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.