The Toronto Blue Jays look to sweep the San Francisco Giants at Rogers Centre on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: This game is a pick’em, despite Toronto’s red-hot form. That’s because Robbie Ray, who won the AL Cy Young award with the Jays in 2021, is pitching for San Francisco. Jose Berrios starts for Toronto and he’s been far less consistent than his counterpart.
Check out my Giants vs. Blue Jays predictions, featuring Rafael Devers and Ernie Clement.
Giants vs. Blue Jays predictions
Parlay: Giants F5 +0.5 | Devers over 1.5 bases | Clement over 0.5 hits (+340)
Giants F5 +0.5 (-186): Ray will surely get a standing ovation when he takes the bump today, but I don’t think he’ll give Jays fans much to cheer about after that.
The southpaw has been flashing his Cy Young-calibre stuff all season, posting a career-best 2.65 ERA to pair with a 1.08 WHIP.
Ray’s strikeout numbers are slightly down since 2021, but his K rate and Whiff rate still both rank above the 70th percentile.
The same can’t be said about Berrios, who ranks in the 37th percentile or worse in K rate, whiff rate, xERA, xBA and barrel rate.
Berrios has gotten roughed up in two of his last three starts and has a 7.43 ERA this month.
I don’t trust Toronto’s righty to out-duel Ray through the early goings of this game.
MLB SGP legs
Devers over 1.5 bases (+120): Devers hasn’t looked like himself since joining the Giants, but I expect him to take advantage of a favourable matchup on Sunday.
The former Boston Red Sox has seen a lot of Berrios, and the results are encouraging:
- 8-for-40
- Three doubles, two HRs
- .302 xBA, .616 xSLG
The left-hitting Devers is running reverse splits this year, but typically enjoys a platoon advantage against right-handers. His career OPS vs. RHP (.906) is 160 points higher than his career OPS vs. LHP (.746).
Berrios gives up a ton of hard contact, and I expect Devers to pounce on a number of his offerings.
Clement over 0.5 hits (-275): Finally, let’s turn to Clement to record a hit. This boosts our parlay’s value from +200 to +340, which is well worth it, in my opinion.
The right-hitting Clement has destroyed lefties all season (MLB ranks in parentheses):
- .379 batting average (fourth-best)
- 185 wRC+ (10th-best)
- 7.1% K rate (sixth-lowest)
Ray is an elite arm, but Clement is a fantastic contact hitter. His 7.1% BB rate against lefties also tells me we’re unlikely to get undone by a couple of walks.
Giants vs. Blue Jays predictions made at 9:45 a.m. ET on 07/20/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.