MLB All-Star Game picks and predictions: Bet on Shohei Ohtani, Riley Greene in prop market

MLB All-Star Game predictions

The Atlanta Braves host the 95th edition of the MLB All-Star Game on Tuesday night at Truist Park, where baseball’s brightest stars from both leagues share the field.

The pregame narrative: Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes get the start for the American League and National League, respectively, in a battle of reigning Cy Young winners. The NL snapped a nine-game ASG losing streak in 2023, but the AL got right back to its winning ways last year.

Check out these MLB All-Star Game predictions for the matchup on July 15, featuring prop bets on Shohei Ohtani and Riley Greene.

MLB All-Star Game predictions

Best Bet: Ohtani over 0.5 hits (+100)

This prop price would never exist for Ohtani in a regular season game, which is part of what makes it so tempting.

Of course, there are reasons for these even-money odds: Ohtani won’t play the full game, and when he’s in there, he’ll be facing a world-class pitcher every time.

Ohtani will face Skubal right out of the gate in arguably the most star-powered matchup possible.

The two-time reigning MVP is just 1-for-9 vs. Skubal, but this lefty-lefty matchup isn’t as lopsided as that would indicate.

  • Ohtani’s batting average vs. LHPs (.295) is actually higher this season than his average vs. RHPs (.265).
  • Skubal is tough on anyone, but his opponent BA vs. left-hitting players (.209) is only marginally lower than his opponent BA vs. right-hitting players (.219).

I don’t want to fixate too much on this Ohtani-vs.-Skubal showdown, though, because it’ll only happen once. What I’m buying here is Ohtani’s opportunity as a whole.

The two-way superstar will bat leadoff for the NL and should have three plate appearances. Last year, he went 1-for-2 with a home run and a walk.

In the likely scenario that Ohtani has three cracks at getting a hit, I think there’s value on a +100 price tag.

Key stat: Ohtani ranks in the 99th or 100th percentile in xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate, per Baseball Savant.

PicksOddsBet now ⬇️
Ohtani over 0.5 hits+100Add to betslip
Under 7.5 runs-136Add to betslip
Greene over 0.5 runs+125Add to betslip

All-Star Game best bets

Under 7.5 runs (-136): Instead of taking under 7 runs (-104) on the standard line, I’m adding a bit of juice for what I believe is some very important cushion.

  • This under is 6-2 in the past eight all-star games.
  • Dating back to 2008, the average ASG total is 6.7 runs.
  • In the past 18 all-star games, only one has featured 10+ runs.

Last year’s 5-3 win for the AL just snuck past this total, but the under cashed in four straight games before that.

There’s a glut of elite players at the plate and on the mound, but top-tier pitching tends to win out.

Most pitchers will only work an inning (or less), meaning hitters are constantly seeing different deliveries, release points and pitch mixes.

Greene over 0.5 runs (+125): Somebody has to score in this game, and Greene should have as much of a chance as anyone on the AL side.

Did you see who he’s hitting in front of?

The Detroit Tigers outfielder will bat second, just ahead of MLB’s top two home run hitters: Aaron Judge (35 HRs) and Cal Raleigh (38).

As with Ohtani, I’m not hyper-fixated on Greene’s first plate appearance (vs. Skenes). I’m moved by the idea that he’ll likely have three PAs before a replacement steps in.

Greene went on a stellar run ahead of the Midsummer Classic, posting a .306/.340/.684 slash line in his past 25 games.

MLB All-Star Game predictions made at 11:15 a.m. on 07/15/2025.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.