Another chapter in the budding rivalry between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will be written in the Wimbledon final.
The latest: Fans were treated to an absolute classic the last time these two shared a tennis court at the French Open final. A repeat performance is always in the range of outcomes when the very best do battle. Will Alcaraz get the upper hand yet again? Or can Sinner get revenge and win as an underdog?
Check out my Sinner vs. Alcaraz Wimbledon predictions for the July 13 men’s final.
Sinner vs. Alcaraz Wimbledon predictions
Best bet: Sinner to win (+100)
Losses don’t come much more heartbreaking than Sinner’s defeat in the French Open final.
The Italian raced out to a two-set lead and failed to convert on three championship points in the fourth before Alcaraz ultimately completed the comeback.
A loss like that is sure to stick with anybody, and I’m betting that Sinner makes good on his opportunity to get even.
Full Wimbledon betting markets
Aside from revenge, there are several reasons to expect Sinner to win this match at even money.
The first is recent form. Nobody has navigated the competition at The Championships better than him. He has only lost two sets at the tournament, while Alcaraz has dropped six.
Consequently, Sinner’s ability to stifle his opponents (and a very unfortunate retirement from Grigor Dimitrov) has allowed him to limit his time on court.
Sinner has only played 11 hours and 45 minutes at Wimbledon, while Alcaraz has played 16 hours and 31 minutes.
A near five-hour gap in court time is significant. As these competitors enter the late stages of this match, that difference could become magnified.
Alcaraz has the better career record on grass (35-3 vs. 30-12), but Sinner has the better serve on this surface. He has won 80.4% of his service points on grass across the last 52 weeks. Alcaraz has won 76.3% of his in the same span.
Ultimately, added motivation, a significant court time advantage, and a slight serving edge have me siding with Sinner in another thriller.
Key stat: Sinner beat Alcaraz in four sets during their lone match at Wimbledon (2022).
Sinner vs. Alacaraz Wimbledon predictions made at 9:52 a.m. on 07/12/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.