The Toronto Blue Jays continue to separate from the pack and are odds-on favourites to win the AL East.
The latest: Toronto has been one of the hottest teams in baseball, and it made a big, albeit risky, splash acquiring 2020 AL Cy Young winner Shane Bieber at the deadline. As the Jays await his debut with the team, they hold a solid lead in the division.
Check out our Blue Jays AL East odds as of Aug. 7, 2025.
Blue Jays AL East odds
| AL East teams | Odds |
| Toronto Blue Jays | -182 |
| Boston Red Sox | +275 |
| New York Yankees | +350 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | +12,500 |
| Baltimore Orioles | +25,000 |
Talk about a vibe switch.
Last year, Toronto was selling off assets at the deadline to put a bow on a lost season.
Now? The Jays were big buyers, holding the top spot in their division — and in the AL.
There are four 64-win teams in the AL, so the league’s top spot could change hands at any moment. And Toronto’s 4.0-game division lead could evaporate if the club hits a cold stretch.
But life is pretty good right now. The Jays are odds-on favourites to win the division and added some expectant contributors at the deadline:
- SP Shane Bieber
- RP Seranthony Dominguez
- RP Louis Varland
- 1B Ty France
Bieber hasn’t pitched since 2023 but owns a career 3.22 ERA and won the 2020 AL Cy Young. He has exceptional upside and should debut before the end of August.
Dominguez (3.66 ERA) and Varland (2.08 ERA) are high-leverage bullpen arms.
The offence is cooking, and the pitching staff — anchored by Jose Berrios, Chris Bassitt and Kevin Gausman — has been solid.
The Blue Jays took care of business at Coors Field, sweeping the Colorado Rockies and scoring 45 runs in three games with a +39 run differential.
Toronto’s next two series come against the Los Angeles Dodgers (66 wins) and Chicago Cubs (66 wins).
So, while destroying the Rockies is nice, the next week will better determine where the Jays sit among MLB’s elite.
FanGraphs gives the Jays a 74.4% chance of winning the AL East entering play on Aug. 7.
AL East notes
- New York was the favourite to win the AL East not long ago, but now it sits third in the division. Aaron Judge went down with an injury, and the Yankees struggled to keep pace without baseball’s best hitter. The good news is Judge made his return on Aug. 5 as a designated hitter. The bad news is that New York now has 6.5 games to make up in the AL East.
- Boston shipped off its best hitter, Rafael Devers, before play on June 16 and failed to add any big names at the deadline. That seems like an indication of Boston waving the white flag, but the opposite occurred. The Red Sox have won 23 of their past 31 games and now hold the second-shortest odds (+350) to win the division.
- The Rays largely stood pat at the deadline outside of trading Danny Jansen to the Brewers and acquiring Nick Fortes, another catcher, from the Marlins. Tampa Bay now sits two games below .500 and is 150-to-1 to win the division.
- If you’re looking for a team doing the opposite of what Toronto has done, it’s Baltimore. The Orioles were powerhouses last year but currently sit 11 games below .500 with the fourth-worst run differential in MLB. Woof.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.