USA and Mexico were the two favourites entering the tournament and will meet on Sunday to decide the 2025 Gold Cup Champion.
The pregame narrative: Both sides led their groups and took care of business in the knockout stages. The past three Gold Cup finals have been played between these nations, with Mexico holding the title of reigning champion.
Check out our USA vs Mexico odds and my best bet for the men’s final soccer match on July 6.
USA vs. Mexico odds
| USA vs. Mexico markets | Betting odds |
| USA to win | +210 |
| Draw | +210 |
| Mexico to win | +150 |
| USA to lift the trophy | +100 |
| Mexico to lift the trophy | -125 |
| Over 2.5 goals | +130 |
| Under 2.5 goals | -167 |
USA vs. Mexico odds as of 4:00 p.m. on 07/06/2025.
Best Gold Cup final bet
Over 2.5 goals (+130): I believe the over is worth a look here at plus money.
- Mexico has scored a goal in four of five matches and has two or more goals three times.
- USA has scored 2.4 goals per game while conceding at least a goal in four of five matches.
That’s a good place to start, and even though Mexico has allowed the fewest goals per game (0.4), it hasn’t played a side with the level of offensive talent that the US possesses.
Plus, it isn’t out of the question for Mexico to cover this total alone against a shaky USA defence.
I can see the Americans contributing here, though. They are 4-0-1 and have scored two or more goals in four of five matches, including a 5-0 battering of Haiti.
This game will be full of chances, I can all but guarantee that, and I think there’s value in backing the over.
Key stat: USA and Mexico have combined to score 4.0 goals per match and have 17.5 xG between them at the Gold Cup.
USA vs. Mexico predictions made at 3:56 p.m. on 07/06/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.