A massive series win is in sight for the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, as they get set for the third game of their series with the New York Yankees.
The pregame narrative: Toronto is just one game behind New York atop the AL East standings after winning back-to-back matchups to open this four-game set. Tonight, Jose Berrios and the home side are underdogs against the Yankees.
Check out my Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 2, featuring Aaron Judge and George Springer.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks
Best Bet: Springer over 0.5 RBI (+180)
Springer is coming off a monster Canada Day output (3-for-4, two home runs, seven RBI), but this isn’t about me chasing past performance.
I think there’s a decent chance Springer slides back into the No. 4 or 5 spot, which is prime RBI territory.
Springer has batted second in the past two games due to Bo Bichette’s minor knee injury. Bichette reportedly felt “astronomically better” on Tuesday, and if he’s back in the lineup tonight, I expect the lineup to return to its standard order.
Prior to this series, Springer batted fourth or fifth in 18 consecutive starts. He had at least one RBI in 10 of those 18.
Springer has never faced Yankees right-hander Will Warren before, but I think Warren’s arsenal makes this a solid fit.
Warren throws a three-pitch mix to right-hitting players: sinkers, four-seam fastballs and sweepers.
Against those pitch types thrown by RHPs, Springer has a .301/.407/.529 slash line in 165 plate appearances.
I like Springer over 1.5 total bases (+133), but I’d prefer a bit of a splashier play today.
Key stat: Since June 6, Springer has a .916 OPS and 23 RBI in 20 starts.
Quick picks
Judge under 1.5 total bases (+100): The Blue Jays have been very careful against Judge, and that’s a big part of why I like fading his bases prop tonight.
Through two games in this series, Judge is 2-for-4 with five walks. That’s right, he has more free passes than at-bats.
I don’t doubt the AL MVP favourite’s ability to reach base. I just think the Jays are making a concerted effort to nibble at the edges and live with issuing walks if needed.
Judge has gone under 1.5 bases in 11 of 17 games since June 14. He has more walks (16) than hits (13) in that span.
Blue Jays picks made at 9:17 a.m. ET on 07/02/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.