Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds 2025: Joey Chestnut favoured in his Fourth of July return

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest

The king of professional eating is hungry to reclaim his throne.

The latest: Joey Chestnut returns to Coney Island after missing last year’s event due to a sponsorship dispute with Nathan’s. He’s the overwhelming favourite to demolish the competition and add to his record 16 titles.

Here are the latest Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds for the competition on July 4.

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds

Check out the latest odds to win Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.
Click odds to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

CompetitorBetting odds
Joey Chestnut-3,335
Geoffrey Esper+1,600
Patrick Bertoletti+1,600
James Webb+2,500
Nick Wehry+3,300
Derek Hendrickson+5,000
George Chiger+5,000
Max Stanford+5,000
Radim Dvoracek+5,000
Any other participant+6,600

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds as of 2:45 p.m. ET on 06/30/2025.

The favourite: Joey Chestnut (-3,335)

You don’t tug on Superman’s cape, you don’t spit into the wind, and you sure as heck don’t ban Chestnut from competing on the grandest of stages.

Last year was a black eye on the storied history of this Fourth of July competition, and now the GOAT is ready to set the record straight.

Patrick Bertoletti kept the seat warm for Chestnut in 2024, eating a winning 58 HBD (hot dogs and buns) in 10 minutes. Chestnut responded by eating 57 HBD in a non-sponsored event … in just five minutes.

Father Time comes for us all, but it doesn’t look like the 41-year-old from Fulton County, Kentucky, intends on slowing down.

Chestnut’s over/under on HBD is 71.5, shaded to the over. The next closest eater is Bertoletti at 50.5.

With that said, this isn’t much of a competition, but rather, a re-coronation.

Number of hot dogs eatenOdds
Over 71.5 hot dogs-134
Under 71.5 hot dogs+100

Nathan’s top contenders

Patrick Bertoletti, Geoffrey Esper (+1,600)

Hats off to Bertoletti for capitalizing on last year’s weak field.

After all, would you blame the Houston Rockets for winning the NBA Championship while Michael Jordan was off playing baseball? I don’t think so.

Bertoletti didn’t take his foot off the gas after winning this competition last year, setting three records to close out the year:

  • 18.475 pounds of blueberries (July 13)
  • 220 Chicken Nuggets (July 26)
  • 46 four-ounce NORM’s Buttermilk Hotcakes (Nov. 16)

Another contender is Esper, who Major League Eating describes as “a quiet, industrious man who says very little but eats very much. It is said the first word he ever spoke was ‘work.'”

The 50-year-old is a teacher by trade, but this is his true calling.

Esper holds two seemingly unbreakable records: eating 83 slices of John’s Incredible Pizza in 10 minutes, and 281 Hooters wings in the same amount of time.

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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.