The NBA Finals shift back to Oklahoma City with the Thunder and Indiana Pacers tied at two games apiece.
The pregame narrative: Not many predicted a competitive Finals, but that’s what fans got, and it’s outlived expectations so far. One of these teams will take an all-important 3-2 lead in this series after Game 5 on Monday.
I’m targeting Chet Holmgren and Pascal Siakam in my Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks for June 16.
Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks
Best bet: Holmgren over 24.5 points/rebounds (-114)
The Thunder have finally realized that Indiana doesn’t have the personnel required to guard Holmgren down low.
After logging under 30 minutes and failing to cash this wager in both Games 1 and 2, OKC unleashed its 7-foot-1 big man.
- Game 3: 34 mins, 20 points, 10 rebounds
- Game 4: 37 mins, 14 points, 15 rebounds
When he plays important starter minutes, the points/rebounds have piled up. It’s also encouraging that he breezed past this line without hitting a 3 in those games (0-for-7).
If he continues to be on the court as much as he should be, he’s going to have a lot of opportunities to score and collect rebounds.
Key stat: The Pacers gave up the second-most PR to power forwards in the regular season (35.37), per Fantasy Pros. Holmgren started at PF in Game 4 beside Isaiah Hartenstein at centre.
Game 5 prop prediction
Siakam over 10.5 rebounds/assists (-112): Siakam has found other ways to contribute besides scoring against the NBA’s best defensive team.
- He is averaging 7.8 rebounds and 4.0 assists in the Finals (3-1 against this line).
- Siakam finished with 10 rebounds/assists in the outlier.
The former Toronto Raptor has been showing off his ability as a playmaker, recording at least three assists in every game.
Siakam’s also grabbed six or more rebounds in all four games so far, showing off a solid floor as a stat stuffer.
I’m going to keep riding his momentum at a good price.
Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks made at 9:52 a.m. ET 06/15/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.