Friday’s top MLB prop recommendation features a play on hot-hitting Los Angeles Angels shortstop Zach Neto.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Neto and the Angels travel to Baltimore in a game that has the highest total of the evening. I expect him to produce in a juicy matchup at the hitter-friendly venue.
Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 13, featuring predictions on Houston Astros starter Colton Gordon and the Atlanta Braves’ Ozzie Albies.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Neto over 0.5 runs (-114)
This is the only double-digit total (10.5) of the day. Runs are expected to be plentiful in a starting pitching matchup featuring Jack Kochanowicz (5.61 ERA) and Charlie Morton (6.59 ERA).
Morton has bounced between the rotation and bullpen, pitching much better as a reliever. But the Orioles have him starting again and his last outing was a disaster after two solid turns in the rotation.
- The veteran righty got lit for four runs on six hits, walking four over 2.1 innings.
- His walk rate is the highest since his debut season and his HR/9 rate is among the highest of his career. Baltimore’s Camden Yards is the No. 1 home run-hitting park in MLB this season (per Baseball Savant).
As for Neto, he’s having a career year and hitting at the top of an Angels lineup that has pop (fourth in homers, sixth in ISO).
Neto has been especially strong in June, slashing .326/.356/.488 and scoring nine times in 10 games.
Only three players (Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber) have scored more frequently than Neto, per Team Rankings.
Key stat: Neto has crossed the plate in nearly 60% of his starts.
Best MLB picks
Albies over 0.5 RBI (+165): Albies’ success vs. Colorado Rockies starter German Marquez doesn’t matter much to me (the sample is only 14 at-bats).
But it doesn’t hurt that he’s batting .429 with two homers and only two strikeouts.
What’s most appealing is Marquez’s struggles — he gets hit often and hard and doesn’t miss bats — and who Albies is hitting behind.
- Marquez has allowed 4+ runs in 9 of his 13 starts.
- Among pitchers who have thrown 60+ IP: His 7.00 ERA is third-worst in MLB and his .315 opponents’ batting average is second-worst.
- He allowed 11 hits and seven runs vs. the Braves in April.
Albies has been a disappointment (.646 OPS), but he’ll have some big bats (Ronald Acuna Jr., Austin Riley, Marcell Ozuna, Matt Olson) in front of him.
That’s likely to create run-producing spots against Marquez or Colorado’s bottom-of-the-barrel bullpen (28th in FIP).
Friday’s best pitcher prop
Gordon over 4.5 Ks (+123): The Minnesota Twins haven’t seen many southpaws recently, but they’ve been carved up when they do.
That makes this light line an attractive plus-money play.
Over the last month, only one left-hander has failed to clear this line against them. Note: The Athletics used openers before turning to lefties for bulk innings in their recent series vs. Minnesota.
- Patrick Corbin (Rangers): 6 Ks
- Jeffrey Springs (Athletics): 7 Ks
- Jacob Lopez (Athletics): 9 Ks
- Kris Bubic (Royals): 9 Ks
- Noah Cameron (Royals): 8 Ks
The 26-year-old rookie has cleared this line in three of his five starts and landed on four in another outing.
He has an above-average 23.6% K rate and had solid strikeout totals in the minors.
Gordon will look to build on those numbers against a Twins team that has the fifth-highest K rate vs. LHPs.
MLB prop picks made at 12:45 p.m. ET on 06/13/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.