Knotted at one game apiece, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers resume their NBA Finals matchup on Wednesday night.
The pregame narrative: OKC is a road favourite in Game 3 after a convincing home victory last time out. The Pacers have deployed a remarkably balanced offence, with zero 20-point scorers through two games.
I’m targeting Jalen Williams and Tyrese Haliburton in my Thunder vs. Pacers prop picks on June 11.
Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks
Best bet: Williams under 26.5 points/rebounds (-108)
Williams soared to new heights in his third NBA season, setting career-highs in points (21.6/game) and rebounds (5.3/game) while earning third-team All-NBA honours.
But he wasn’t routinely clearing this points/rebounds line then, and he’s certainly not doing so now.
Williams is the No. 2 scoring option for the Thunder, but it’s been a pretty streaky postseason. He’s gone under 20 points in 10 of his past 14 games.
Though Williams is listed as the Thunder’s starting power forward, he isn’t a typical big man. He’s 6-foot-5 and spends plenty of time roaming the perimeter, too.
OKC has two 7-footers — Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein — who are currently playing in a staggered way that ensures a traditional big is always on the floor.
In my view, that lowers Williams’ ceiling as a rebounder.
Williams is shooting just 37.7% vs. the Pacers in four matchups this year, averaging 18.5 points and 3.8 rebounds (22.3 PR). He’s hit this under in all four games.
I know he’s likely to be heavily involved, but he hasn’t shown enough against the Pacers (or in the playoffs as a whole) to warrant this high of a line.
Key stat: Williams has averaged 25.8 PR in this postseason and 25.6 PR in 28 career playoff games.
Game 3 prop prediction
Haliburton under 8.5 assists (-150): This line would typically seem a bit low for Haliburton, but the Thunder have had the clamps on him so far this series.
The 2023-24 assist champ, who averaged 9.2 APG during the regular season, had just six assists apiece in Games 1 and 2.
In four games against the Thunder overall this season, he has 23 total assists and has gone under this mark all four times.
OKC allowed the fourth-fewest assists per game during the regular season (24.6). They’ve allowed even fewer APG during the playoffs (21.8).
Haliburton has gone under an 8.5-assist line in eight of his past 12 games.
Thunder vs. Pacers prop picks made at 12:47 p.m. ET 06/10/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.