After last night’s extra-innings win, the Toronto Blue Jays are back at it on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals.
The pregame narrative: Toronto is a slight moneyline favourite tonight after winning 10 of its previous 12 games. Chris Bassitt gave up nine runs on 10 hits when he last pitched in St. Louis, but that was back in April 2023.
Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Cardinals for June 10, with predictions on Masyn Winn and George Springer.
Blue Jays picks vs. Cardinals
Best Bet: Winn over 0.5 runs (+130)
My reasons for backing Winn to score a run are threefold:
- He’s scoring at a solid clip right now. Winn’s on-base numbers aren’t out of this world, but he gets on enough to let a solid Cardinals lineup bring him around.
Over his past 26 games, he’s 14-12 vs. this prop with 20 total runs. On the season, Winn’s .343 on-base percentage ranks 59th out of 168 qualified hitters.
- Bassitt has struggled on the road. Through six road starts, Bassitt has a 4.86 ERA and a .446 opponent SLG.
He has allowed four-plus runs in four consecutive outings as a visitor.
- The Cardinals have hit Bassitt well. It’s a small sample, but it’s true. St. Louis’ lineup is 12-for-27 (.444) with four home runs and a double against Bassitt.
Winn started the year as the Cardinals’ No. 9 hitter to help roll the lineup over, but he shifted to the No. 2 spot in late April. He’s in a prime position to score, and I think the situation tonight makes this a value play.
Key stat: From April 1 onward, Winn has cashed this bet in 28 of 50 starts (56.0%).
Quick pick
Springer over 1.5 total bases (+107): Springer had a bit of a cold spell from late April through late May, but he’s since come out of it.
Check out what he’s done from May 27 onward:
- 2+ bases in 8 of 13 games
- .705 SLG
- 5 home runs
- 4 doubles
Springer’s contact quality has been elite this season. He ranks in the 95th percentile in xSLG (.566) and the 98th percentile in barrel rate (19.3%), per Baseball Savant.
Also, Springer is 5-for-9 with a home run against Miles Mikolas.
Blue Jays picks made at 9:18 a.m. ET on 06/10/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.