The French Open reaches the semifinal stage, and the world’s best women’s players are going head to head.
Today’s French Open narrative: Aryna Sabalenka once again finds herself in the late stages of another Grand Slam major. She will face a familiar foe in Iga Swiatek, who’s proven very difficult to beat at Roland Garros in her career.
Check out my French Open predictions for the June 5 semifinal matches, featuring a pick on Lois Boisson vs. Coco Gauff.
French Open predictions
Best bet: Swiatek to win (+105)
In this epic semifinal clash between two of the best, I’ll back Swiatek as the underdog.
- She is the best women’s player on clay, as demonstrated by her 148-21 record on the surface.
- Sabalenka is good on clay (16-2 in 2025), but her 93-41 career record falls well short of her counterpart.
- Swiatek has been extremely successful at Roland Garros, winning four of the past five French Opens (2020, 2022-24).
Both women have cruised to this point in the competition. They have combined to lose one set, so I have to back the better clay better with the better head-to-head history.
Key stat: Swiatek has owned Sabalenka on clay, winning five of their six career meetings on the surface. Additionally, she won 11 of the 14 possible sets in those matches.
Go to full French Open betting markets.
Best women’s quarterfinal tennis pick
Boisson/Gauff under 19.5 games (-112): Boisson, fueled by the crowd’s energy in her home country, pulled off a colossal upset over the No. 6-ranked Mirra Andreeva in the quarterfinal.
The French player entered the competition as the 361st-ranked women’s player. She’s on a Cinderella run, but I think it comes to an end on Thursday.
Gauff is simply at another level right now.
- She continues to improve on her 77-29 record on clay.
- She’s won 10 of her 11 sets at the 2025 French Open.
The one set she lost came against Madison Keys in the quarterfinal. She’s the No. 8-ranked player and won the Australian Open earlier this year.
Boisson is a promising young player who does her best work on clay (104-40 record), but Gauff is cut from a different cloth and should be able to win the match comfortably.
Gauff is -155 to win in straight sets, so I’d rather back her by taking the under in a match at better value since I expect her to dominate.
French Open predictions made at 4:04 p.m. on 06/04/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.