A play on Los Angeles Dodgers star Freddie Freeman is my best bet for Tuesday’s MLB prop picks.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Freeman’s teammate grabs all the headlines, but don’t overlook what the former MVP is doing himself. The L.A. first baseman has been tearing the cover off the ball and I like him to produce against the New York Mets tonight.
Check out my top MLB prop bets for June 3, featuring predictions on Zac Gallen and Pete Crow-Armstrong.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Freeman over 1.5 total bases (+117)
Let’s get right to it: Freeman has a 1.085 OPS at home and a 1.163 OPS against righties.
He’s hit seven homers, an NL-leading 14 doubles and paces MLB with a .403 average vs. RHPs.
His Dodgers host Tylor Megill and the Mets on Tuesday night. Megill isn’t the best arm to face on a total bases prop due to his low home run rate and high volume of walks and strikeouts.
But at this price, Freeman is an auto-play for me.
He’s been mashing all season, topping his MVP teammate Shohei Ohtani in batting average, on-base percentage and wRC+.
Freeman’s power has come back in a big way following a down 2024 regular season.
- ISO: .194; SLG: .476; wRC+: 137
- ISO: .253; SLG: .621; wRC+: 191
Key stat: Freeman has topped this line in six of his last eight games.
Best MLB picks
Gallen under 17.5 outs (-124): I don’t trust this version of Gallen against this version of the Atlanta Braves.
Ronald Acuna Jr. is back atop the Braves’ lineup and has a 1.042 OPS through nine games. He has homered three times and is slugging .647.
Acuna completely changes the dynamic of this team, hitting in front of sluggers Marcell Ozuna, Matt Olson and Austin Riley.
And Gallen simply hasn’t been good.
- Gallen has allowed 4+ runs in seven of his 12 starts. That includes each of his last four.
- His 5.54 ERA and 1.40 WHIP are both career-worst marks.
- He hasn’t completed six innings since back-to-back outings against the Mets at the start of May and is 5-7 against this line on the season.
Gallen has walked multiple batters in all but one outing, and the once-big-strikeout arm is just hovering above the league-average rate for starters.
The reeling Diamondbacks were off yesterday, giving their bullpen a much-needed breather after taking on a heavy workload in their weekend series against the Washington Nationals.
Crow-Armstrong over 1.5 total bases (-104): Speaking of the Nats, I want a lefty bat vs. Washington righty Trevor Williams.
For the Chicago Cubs, Kyle Tucker naturally comes to mind. You’ll be paying a steep price if you want to back him, though (-165 to score; -137 to go over 1.5 bases).
But Crow-Armstrong is a viable option.
Crow-Armstrong is coming off a big month and punishes righties. Williams, on the other hand, has been getting rocked by left-handed batters, making this an obvious play for me.
- Williams vs. LHBs: 354/.396/.546
- Crow-Armstrong vs. RHPs: .315/.350/.625
The 23-year-old Cubs breakout star has hit 12 of his 15 homers vs. RHPs and is 9-6 against this line in his last 15 games.
MLB prop picks made at 1:20 p.m. ET on 06/03/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.