After steamrolling the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3, the Minnesota Timberwolves can even the Western Conference finals on Monday night at home.
The pregame narrative: Anthony Edwards showed up in a major way in Game 3, helping Minnesota earn a 42-point victory at Target Center. OKC is still the odds-on frontrunner to win the NBA Finals, though, and the visiting squad is favoured to take Game 4.
Check out my Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks on Edwards and Isaiah Hartenstein for Game 4 on May 26.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks
Best Bet: Edwards over 13.5 rebounds/assists (-118)
Edwards has his fingerprints all over this series, as you would expect from Minnesota’s alpha dog.
Check out some of the per-game stats Edwards leads the T-wolves in during the WCF:
- Minutes (35.4)
- Assists (5.0)
- Rebounds (9.0)
- Potential assists (9.0)
- Rebound chances (13.3)
Oh, and he’s also the team’s leading scorer.
The ferocity of OKC’s defence wasn’t on full display in Game 3, but I have enough respect for the Thunder that I don’t want to mess with Edwards’ scoring prop.
But I think he has a great shot at clearing his rebounds/assists total, as he has more often than not this postseason.
Through 13 playoff games, Edwards is 9-4 vs. this line while averaging 13.9 RA.
Since February, Edwards is 5-1 vs. this line against the Thunder, averaging 15.7 RA in that span.
Edwards’ output as a scorer isn’t always predictable. But his effort level as a rebounder is. Combining that with his role as the primary facilitator, this is a solid way to back the T-wolves’ superstar guard.
Key stat: Edwards has cashed this bet in 14 of his past 19 playoff games (dating back to May 2024).
Game 4 prop predictions
Hartenstein under 18.5 points/rebounds/assists (-125): This line would’ve seemed low during the regular season, but things change.
Hartenstein has largely been a non-factor in this series, averaging just 8.0 points, 6.3 rebounds and 0.7 assists (15.0 PRA).
He’s finished under this line in five straight games, which is thanks in part to a reduced minutes workload. Hartenstein is only averaging 21.6 minutes in that span, versus 26.9 minutes in his previous nine playoff games.
In his past five games against the Timberwolves, Hartenstein has gone under 18.5 PRA four times. I just don’t trust him to be a big part of OKC’s plans in this series.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks made at 3:00 p.m. ET 05/25/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.