Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s worst start of the season came earlier this month against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he’ll look to bounce back against the divisional foe on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: Yamamoto allowed five runs over 5.0 innings against Arizona on May 8, with Ketel Marte dealing some of that damage. The Dodgers (29-19) still lead the NL West despite dropping four games in a row.
Check out my Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prop bets, featuring Marte and Teoscar Hernandez.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prop bets
Best Bet: Marte over 0.5 runs (+115)
It’s exceedingly rare to see Marte’s runs prop with such an enticing price, and I have to buy in.
I know Yamamoto (5-3, 2.12 ERA) has put together a stellar body of work through two months. But his past two starts were a bit shakier, as he allowed eight runs on 10 hits in 11.0 innings.
One of those outings came against the Diamondbacks, and Marte teed off on Yamamoto with a solo home run that had a 108.6-mph exit velocity.
I’d love to see another home run from Marte tonight, and he has six in his past 11 games, so it’s not out of the question.
But I’m more bullish on his low strikeout rate and high walk rate, which suggest he’ll find a way on base some way or another.
Marte has a 13.4 K% and a 13.4 BB%. For context, MLB averages are 22.0 K% and 8.7 BB%.
As an everyday player who bats either first or second for the D-backs, Marte will be in a great position to score as long as he gets on.
He has cashed this bet in five straight games, as well as 14 of 21 starts this year.
Key Stat: Marte is 3-for-7 with a homer, a double and two walks against Yamamoto.
Best MLB picks
Hernandez over 0.5 RBI (+170): Hernandez was sidelined for two weeks with a groin strain, but he was back in the Dodgers’ lineup last night and cashed this bet in his return.
Dating back to April 22, Hernandez is 10-3 against this prop and has 18 RBI in 13 games. He also has a .389/.400/.722 slash line in that span.
L.A.’s lineup hasn’t had much success against Arizona starter Ryne Nelson, but Hernandez is 3-for-4 with a double and two walks.
Hernandez typically bats with Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman ahead of him. Those guys spend plenty of time on base, and Hernandez has made a habit of driving them home.
The outfielder is 17-for-39 (.436) with runners in scoring position this year, posting an otherworldly 237 wRC+.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prop bets made at 3:22 p.m. ET on 05/20/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.