A healthy dose of the Subway Series makes its way into my MLB prop bets for Saturday.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Nolan Arenado is having an uncharacteristically poor season, but he should be able to take advantage of a plus matchup.
Check out my MLB prop bets for May 18.
MLB prop bets
Best Bet: Arenado over 1.5 total bases (+125)
This isn’t the type of season people have come to expect from Arenado.
The Cardinals slugger’s .242 batting average and .379 OPS are the lowest marks of his career, and way below his career averages of .284 and .853, respectively.
If there’s anything that can get the third baseman going, though, it’s a date with Kansas City Royals pitcher Michael Wacha.
Wacha is enjoying a solid campaign, combining a 2.96 ERA with a 3.10 FIP. But he has struggled mightily in the past versus Arenado.
In 19 at-bats versus Wacha, Arenado is batting:
- .474 AVG
- 4 home runs
Those are undeniable numbers.
Key stat: No batter has more career home runs against the pitcher they’re facing today than Arenado.
MLB prop picks made at 12:04 p.m. ET on 05/18/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.