It’s the penultimate matchday in Serie A, and much is still to be decided, including who will win the Scudetto.
The pregame narrative: Napoli holds a one-point lead over Inter Milan atop the table, and both are favoured to win this weekend. Four teams — Juventus, Lazio, Roma and Bologna — are separated by two points for the league’s final Champions League qualification spot.
Check out the best Serie A predictions for Matchday 37, taking place May 17-18.
Serie A predictions
Best bet: Napoli half time/full time (+125)
Napoli has lost only three games all season, and has a seemingly easy finish en route to a fourth Scudetto.
Gli Azzurri are on the road against Parma this weekend, which sits 16th in Serie A, and then host Cagliari (14th).
Take a look at how Antonio Conte’s side ranks in several key metrics, provided by FotMob:
- First in match rating (7.07)
- First in goals conceded per game (0.8)
- First in clean sheets (17)
- Fifth in xG (51.0)
Napoli’s defence has been in top shape lately, allowing just two goals (both on May 11 against Genoa) in its last five games.
It took a half-time lead in three of those games and converted those to full-time victories.
Parma has a poor 5-5-8 home record and has picked up points in four of its last five games at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
But the squad has conceded five goals in those contests, and is giving up a whopping 1.6 goals per game this year (16th in Serie A).
I’m confident Napoli can score, and struggle to see how Parma will crack Conte’s defence.
Key stat: Napoli has held the lead in 50% of its away fixtures, the second-best mark in Serie A.
Go to full Serie A betting markets
Best Serie A Matchday 37 bets
Udinese under 0.5 goals (-136): Juventus holds the fourth and final Champions League qualification spot, slotting ahead of Lazio on goal differential (+20 to +13).
The White and Blacks have played a boring, but effective brand of football in Thiago Motta’s first season as manager.
- Juve ranks a predestrian eighth in goals per game (1.5) while conceding the second-fewest goals per contest (0.9).
- It has also allowed the third-fewest xG (34.3) and ranks second in clean sheets (16).
This seems like a perfect spot for Juventus to pick up its 17th shutout of the season.
Udinese is scoring a lacklustre 1.08 goals per game and was shut out, 2-0, in the reverse fixture at Stadio Friuli.
Look for Juventus to strike first and then park the bus in an effort to maintain its UCL qualifying status.
Serie A predictions made at 3:00 p.m. on 05/15/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.