It’s PGA Championship week, so let’s take a look at some long-shot options.
The latest: Three players — Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Bryson DeChambeau — hold odds shorter than 10-to-1 at Quail Hollow. But I’m looking way down the odds board at Keegan Bradley and Max Homa, the latter of whom has won at this venue before.
Check out my PGA Championship long shot picks for the major championship beginning on May 15.
PGA Championship long shot picks
Best bet: Bradley to win (+10,000)
In my opinion, only a handful of players have a chance this week.
My best bet for the event is Scheffler (exciting, I know), and the likes of McIlroy and DeChambeau are sure to be popular options as well. That trio holds a combined 34.4% win probability, according to DataGolf.
But we’ll still take a stab at a few long shots, starting with Bradley.
The 2025 U.S. Ryder Cup captain has been playing solid golf this season, with six top-10 finishes in 11 starts. That includes a T5 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March.
Bradley can bomb the ball off-the-tee, which will be important on a long and wet golf course.
He has also been a superb iron player (ranking 23rd on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approach) and owns a solid short game (29th in strokes gained: around-the-green).
A lot will have to go right for Bradley to win, but I can dig these 100-to-1 odds.
Key stat: Bradley has made three straight cuts at Quail Hollow, finishing T18, T35, and T21.
Full PGA Championship betting markets
Quick PGA Championship picks
Homa to win (+15,000): Exactly one year ago today, Homa was the No. 9 ranked player in the world … now, he sits 78th with just one top-20 finish in his last 11 starts. Yikes.
But I’m willing to take a flier on the six-time PGA Tour winner for a few reasons:
- Homa has made three straight cuts, highlighted by a surprise T12 at the Masters.
- He’s picked up strokes on approach and putting in two of those three starts.
- He has a spectacular history at Quail Hollow, winning here in 2019 with consecutive T8 finishes in 2023 and 2024.
Let’s hope the friendly confines of this venue help Homa build on his rising play.
PGA Championship long shot picks made at 9:23 a.m. on 05/14/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.