The Minnesota Timberwolves can punch their Western Conference finals ticket with a win over the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: Golden State’s bounce-back season will seemingly be undone by an injury to Steph Curry, who is set to miss a fourth straight game. Minnesota is 3-1 at home this postseason and is an 11-point favourite at Target Center tonight.
Check out my Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game 5 prop picks for Tuesday, May 14, featuring plays on Anthony Edwards and Naz Reid.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves prop picks
Best Bet: Edwards over 34.5 points and rebounds (-125)
Edwards was slumping to begin this series, but he snapped out of it after smelling blood in the water.
- Game 3: 36 points (13-of-28 shooting), 4 rebounds
- Game 4: 30 points (11-of-21 shooting), 4 rebounds
Back-to-back 30-point outings have put Golden State on the brink of elimination, and I expect Edwards to come through with another monster performance tonight.
The shooting guard is averaging 27.0 points and 8.1 rebounds this postseason, which puts us comfortably above this number.
He’s cleared this mark in four of his last seven games, including two of four this series.
Edwards is capable of clearing this mark on points alone, and that’s very possible if he continues to shoot with volume.
But I’m also bullish on him racking up a ton of rebounds as he did in Game 1 (14 rebounds) and Game 2 (nine rebounds).
The Warriors are continuing to run a small-ball lineup with 6-foot-9 Trayce Jackson-Davis starting at centre. He’s the tallest player getting meaningful minutes for Golden State.
Edwards isn’t a giant, but his superhuman vertical allows him to contend for any rebound.
Key stat: Since the start of last postseason, Minnesota’s shooting guard has 30+ points/rebounds in 17 of 25 games (13-10 vs. this line).
Game 5 prop prediction
Reid over 1.5 threes (-125): Reid is the type of player teams need to go on a deep playoff run.
The 2023-24 NBA Sixth Man of the Year is averaging 11.2 PPG off the bench, playing elite defence and shooting the lights out from 3-point range.
- 21-of-48 from deep (48.8%)
- 2+ threes in 6 of 9 games
Reid is averaging 2.5 makes on 5.3 attempts this series, hitting three 3s in Games 1-3.
Golden State has struggled to defend the deep ball, ranking 25th in opponent 3-point percentage (36.5%) this season.
Reid is 4-1 against this line in his last five games vs. the Warriors.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves prop picks made at 10:11 a.m. ET 05/14/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.