Oilers vs. Golden Knights prop picks Game 5: Back Leon Draisaitl, fade Tomas Hertl on Wednesday

Oilers vs. Golden Knights picks

The Edmonton Oilers can advance with a road win over the Vegas Golden Knights on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Vegas, down 3-1 after getting blanked for the first time in the playoffs, is a slight favourite with its season on the line. A victory for Edmonton would mark the club’s third trip to the Western Conference finals in four years.

Check out my Oilers vs. Golden Knights prop picks on Leon Draisaitl and Thomas Hertl for Game 5 on May 14.

Oilers vs. Golden Knights picks

Best bet: Draisaitl to score (+115)

Few players rise to the occasion like Draisaitl.

The German has five goals this postseason and 46 goals in 84 career playoff games.

That puts him ninth all-time in postseason goals per game (0.548), ahead of names like Pavel Bure, Jari Kurri and Brett Hull.

Draisaitl scored in both road games to open this series and has found the net in four of five contests away from home.

Riding shotgun with Connor McDavid certainly helps. McDavid leads all postseason skaters with 14 assists.

Edmonton’s top line of McDavid, Draisaitl and Corey Perry has dominated this series at 5v5.

They own a 61.82% Corsi rate (chances allowed divided by chances created), according to Natural Stat Trick, and have outscored the opposition 4-2.

Key stat: Draisaitl has scored in four of his last six games against Vegas.

Game 5 prop prediction

Hertl to not record a point (-125): The Golden Knights have gotten caved in at 5v5 this series, which will ultimately be their undoing, barring an unlikely comeback.

Vegas has been outscored 13-7 at even strength, and Hertl has been one of many Golden Knights struggling to produce.

The Czech winger has been shuffled around the Golden Knights’ lineup this series and has nothing to show for it, logging zero points and 10 shots in four games.

He’s now been held pointless in six straight games and seven of his last eight dating back to the first round against the Minnesota Wild.

Hertl does play on the top power-play unit, but that group is also in a rut, going 2-for-12 this series.

Oilers vs. Golden Knights prop picks made at 4:20 p.m. ET 05/13/2025.

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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.