The Minnesota Timberwolves have an A-plus opportunity to put the Golden State Warriors on the ropes on Monday.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota picked up a tightly-contested win in Game 3 and is favoured to send this series home with a commanding 3-1 lead. Steph Curry remains sidelined for Golden State, and reportedly won’t be back until Game 6 at the earliest.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Warriors SGP predictions for May 12, featuring Jimmy Butler and Anthony Edwards.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions
Parlay: Under 210.5 points | Edwards 4+ threes | Butler 1+ threes (+280)
Under 210.5 points (-295): I took the under on this exact total in my Game 3 SGP, and it cashed. Unfortunately, Donte DiVincenzo let us down by failing to hit a pair of 3s, but that’s neither here nor there.
Golden State and Minnesota are playing some gritty, defensively-minded basketball this series, and I expect that to continue with the greatest shooter of all time sidelined.
Here are a few reasons why:
- The Warriors had the seventh-best defensive rating during the regular season and are seventh among 16 playoff teams.
- The T-Wolves were sixth in defensive rating during the regular season and are third among playoff teams.
- The T-Wolves and Warriors rank 10th and 13th in true shooting percentage this postseason.
Unders are 7-3 against this number in Golden State’s 10 playoff games. Expect another defensive slog as Steve Kerr bides his time for Curry to return.
NBA SGP legs
Edwards 4+ threes (-120): It sure feels like Edwards has his swagger back after dropping a game-high 36 points in Saturday’s win.
The dynamic shooting guard went 5-for-14 from deep in that game after shooting a combined 3-for-20 in the three games prior.
His efficiency still isn’t great, but I love seeing that type of volume.
Edwards canned four-plus 3s in three of five games against the Los Angeles Lakers and averaged the second-most 3s (4.1) and 3-point attempts (10.3) during the regular season.
Golden State is a strong defensive team, but Edwards should flirt with this line on a nightly basis if he keeps putting up shots.
This feels like a good time to back him to stay hot.
Butler 1+ threes (-295): I’d recommend adding this leg into any SGP you’re making for Game 4.
Butler isn’t a big 3-point shooter, but he’s going to chew up massive minutes in what’s essentially a must-win game for the Warriors.
The small forward has hit a pair of 3s in every game this series, and is averaging 4.8 three-point attempts without Curry (including Game 1) since joining Golden State.
That’s not a ton of volume, but it should be more than enough to cash in a single 3-ball.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions made at 11:00 a.m. ET 05/12/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.