The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves meet for Game 3 on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota looks to build off its blowout win, and is favoured to do so against the Steph Curry-less Warriors. The Timberwolves have won seven of their last 10 road games, including two of three in Round 1.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Warriors SGP predictions for May 10, featuring Jimmy Butler and Donte DiVincenzo.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions
Parlay: Under 210.5 points | Butler 6+ assists | DiVincenzo 2+ threes (+270)
Under 210.5 points (-286): Golden State has been willing to play in rock fights this postseason, and now Steve Kerr’s hand is forced without Curry.
The Warriors had the seventh-best defensive rating during the regular season and should lean on that facet of their game rather than getting into a shootout with the Anthony Edwards-led T-Wolves.
- Unders are 6-3 against this number in Golden State’s playoff games, including each of the last three.
- Minnesota has the fourth-highest under rate on the road this season (54.6%).
The T-Wolves and Warriors both rank in the bottom-half of playoff teams in terms of pace (possessions per 48 minutes) and true shooting percentage, as well.
NBA SGP legs
Butler 6+ assists (-157): Butler has been asked to do it all before, and led the Miami Heat to multiple finals appearances as the main man.
He averaged a healthy 5.9 assists in his 2023 finals run and is right around that number again this postseason.
Excluding Game 2 against the Houston Rockets, where he exited after eight minutes with an injury, Butler is putting up 5.8 APG and is 5-2 vs. this line.
He’s first on the Warriors in “potential assists” per game (10.3). NBA.com categorizes that as a pass leading directly to a shot.
DiVincenzo 2+ threes (-235): DiVincenzo is heaving up bricks from beyond-the-arc right now, but I still think he’s worth backing at this number.
The first-year Timberwolf is shooting 21.7% from deep this postseason on 6.6 attempts per game.
However, he shot 39.7% during the regular season and went 3-for-8 in Game 2. I’m hoping that positive result is what DiVincenzo needs to break out of a shooting slump.
He had cleared this mark in three straight games vs. Golden State before the playoffs, shooting a combined 11-for-26 from deep (42.0%).
Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions made at 1:00 p.m. ET 05/10/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.