Arsenal will need a comeback effort in Paris to advance to the Champions League final.
The pregame narrative: PSG holds a 1-0 lead after a hard-fought victory in London. Arsenal was arguably the better side but is rightfully an underdog on the road in this second leg.
Check out my PSG vs. Arsenal SGP predictions for May 7, featuring Gabriel Martinelli and Declan Rice.
PSG vs. Arsenal predictions
Parlay: Arsenal to win or tie | Martinelli over 0.5 SOT | Rice over 0.5 shots (+290)
Arsenal to win or tie (-127): The English side out-chanced its opponent in the first leg, registering 1.46 xG while PSG mustered up 1.25.
That doesn’t matter much when the final result is a loss, but it’s worth noting when looking ahead to Wednesday.
It’s also telling that the Gunners are tied with Inter Milan for fewest goals conceded per match in this tournament (0.6).
While the Parisians have Gianluigi Donnarumma in goal, who’s among the best in the world at his position, it’s Arsenal that has proven to be the tougher defensive side.
The Gunners played a second leg on the road in the quarterfinal, beating Real Madrid 2-1.
While those were different circumstances with Arsenal up 3-0 heading into that leg, Los Blancos were the favourites to raise the Champions League trophy before that matchup.
Arsenal is 4-1-1 on the road in the Champions League this season. Thomas Partey also returns from a suspension that forced him to miss the match in London.
He is an integral part of the midfield as the defensive anchor, and his return gives me heightened confidence in his squad to get a result.
Go to full Champions League betting markets
Champions League SGP legs
Martinelli over 0.5 SOT (-104): I’m interested in this as a solo play, but it’s also a great addition to this SGP.
- The Brazilian attacker has been consistent against this line, recording a shot on goal in 7 of his last 8 appearances.
- He’s played at least 89 minutes in Arsenal’s last three Champions League matches, cashing this wager each time.
The Gunners will be desperate for offence, and Martinelli is the focal point. An uptick in opportunities should be available for the striker, who often clears this line anyway.
Rice over 0.5 shots (-286): Here’s another pick with solid backing, and the price reflects that.
- Rice has attempted a shot in 16 of the past 17 games.
- He’s cashed this wager in eight of his last 10 UCL appearances.
The English midfielder is Arsenal’s free-kick taker, which could lead to an easy shot attempt that wouldn’t even need to be on target.
Rice can play further up the field in the second leg with the return of Partey as the defensive midfielder.
PSG vs. Arsenal predictions made at 11:36 a.m. on 05/06/25.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.